MRSH MRSH
$170.96 · scored 16:10 · stale
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−59.6 composite┆ +46.8 yesterday (−106.4)
Evidence
35 / 100 · top 90% today
8 contracts · quality 57 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.16% · n=57,763
What traded today · weight 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 0.0% 8 puts
bias −100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+2.4 pts
7,422 call OI · 53.2% 6,538 put OI
bias +6.3 × 0.38
Equals
−59.6
96% of the score comes from today’s volume, 4% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MRSH today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 35 (10th pct) · quality 57 · 8 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.16% avg, n=57,763
note Too few of our calls checked 2 closed calls on MRSH
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $170.96. The $195 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,850). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on MRSH Proof 1 Oct · 4h
$170.96 → $170.96
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$170.73 → $170.73
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 2 of these 2 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
MRSH
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−59.6 ┆ +46.8 yday evidence
has paid −0.16% · n=57,763
Why it’s −60
−62.0 volume · 0% calls+2.4 OI · 53% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 35 (10th pct) · quality 57 · 8 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
note Too few of our calls checked 2 closed calls on MRSH
What traded today · 62%
−62.0 pts
0 calls · 8 puts · bias −100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+2.4 pts
7,422 call OI · 6,538 put OI · bias +6.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
0% hit rate · 2 closed
1 Oct · 4h
$170.96 → $170.96
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$170.73 → $170.73
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $195 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MRSH
Not enough tape history on MRSH for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our MRSH record what it is? What’s the $195 wall?