MRVL Marvell Technology Inc
$271.25 · +0.00% vs $271.25 close · scored 09:56 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 78/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 78/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+20.5 composite+0.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
78 / 100 · top 5% today
155,893 contracts · quality 84 · stability 0.00
has paid +1.05% · n=9,329
What traded today · weight 62%
+20.5 pts
103,718 calls · 66.5% 52,175 puts
bias +33.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+0.0 pts
244,659 call OI · 50.1% 244,109 put OI
bias +0.1 × 0.38
Equals
+20.5
100% of the score comes from today’s volume, 0% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +21.34% · tape −4.3 · corr -0.05
● peak +47 ◆ −32.6 in a day ▼ low −5.1 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-10 $273 $206 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 21.34% while the tape has barely moved (−4.3). The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 78 (95th pct) · quality 84 · 155,893 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 34
pass This kind of read has paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +1.05% avg, n=9,329
pass Tape has led price tape has led MRVL’s price by 2 days (r=0.46, n=49)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
note Our record on MRVL is mixed 38% hit rate on 616 closed calls · payoff 2.63×
04
Where the positions sit No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
Spot $271.25. The $165 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 32,647). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on MRVL Proof 2 Oct · 4h
$272.78 → $272.78
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$272.30 → $272.30
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$269.25 → $269.25
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$266.85 → $266.85
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 277 of these 616 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 90.45 · fwd 44.99 Beta 2.285
52w $70.69–$329.88 IV rank —
Ask about MRVL answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +30 to +21 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +29.8 on 1 Oct, then fell to +20.5 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $264.21 to $269.25. It’s at +20.5 now.+20.5 from volume and +0.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 50 pts stock_scores · 09:56 method · 62/38
Compare with INTC Why is our MRVL record what it is? What’s the $165 wall?
What our data projects
+0.87 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#12 of 635 · helped by confidence, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $165 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Marvell Technology Inc · Semiconductors
Mildly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+20.5 evidence
has paid +1.05% · n=9,329
Why it’s +21
+20.5 volume · 67% calls+0.0 OI · 50% calls
50 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −32.6 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-10 $273 $206 Price +21.34%, tape −4.3 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 78 (95th pct) · quality 84 · 155,893 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 34
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
note Our record on MRVL is mixed 38% hit rate on 616 closed calls · payoff 2.63×
What traded today · 62%
+20.5 pts
103,718 calls · 52,175 puts · bias +33.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+0.0 pts
244,659 call OI · 244,109 put OI · bias +0.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +21.34% · tape −4.3 · corr -0.05
● peak +47 ◆ −32.6 in a day ▼ low −5.1 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-10 $273 $206 Over 30 days, price has risen 21.34% while the tape has barely moved (−4.3). The two are drifting apart.
No per-strike chain is stored for this name yet, so we can’t show where the positions sit. The totals above still come from today’s chain.
38% hit rate · 616 closed
2 Oct · 4h
$272.78 → $272.78
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$272.30 → $272.30
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$269.25 → $269.25
+0.00% flat
1 Oct · 4h
$266.85 → $266.85
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $165 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MRVL
Why did the score drop from +30 to +21 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +29.8 on 1 Oct, then fell to +20.5 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $264.21 to $269.25. It’s at +20.5 now.+20.5 from volume and +0.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 50 pts stock_scores · 09:56 method · 62/38
Compare with INTC Why is our MRVL record what it is? What’s the $165 wall?