MSCI
MSCI
$552.35 · +0.00% vs $552.35 close · scored 05:11 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 45/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 45/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−3.6 composite
Evidence
45 / 100 · top 79% today
772 contracts · quality 76 · stability 0.00
neutral · −0.48% · n=95,098
What traded today · weight 62%
−4.0 pts
361 calls · 46.8%411 puts
bias −6.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+0.4 pts
3,461 call OI · 50.6%3,385 put OI
bias +1.1 × 0.38
Equals
−3.6
90% of the score comes from today’s volume, 10% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MSCI today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 45 (21th pct) · quality 76 · 772 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
noteNeutral reads make no callneutral · balanced · low liquidity → −0.48% avg, n=95,098
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on MSCI
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $552.35 highlighted. The $550 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,602). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on MSCI
Proof
6 Oct · 4h
$552.35 → $552.35
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
MSCI
Neutral, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−3.6evidence 45
neutral · −0.48% · n=95,098
Why it’s −4
−4.0 volume · 47% calls+0.4 OI · 51% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 45 (21th pct) · quality 76 · 772 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
noteNeutral reads make no call
neutral · balanced · low liquidity → −0.48% avg, n=95,098
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on MSCI
What traded today · 62%
−4.0 pts
361 calls · 411 puts · bias −6.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+0.4 pts
3,461 call OI · 3,385 put OI · bias +1.1
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
6 Oct · 4h
$552.35 → $552.35
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $550 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about MSCI
Not enough tape history on MSCI for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.