MTLS Materialise NV
$8.50 · +0.00% vs $8.50 close · scored 11:28 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 40/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 40/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+79.5 composite┆ +79.5 yesterday (+0.0) −18.6 vs a week ago
Evidence
40 / 100 · top 82% today
39 contracts · quality 44 · stability 0.76
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
What traded today · weight 62%
+49.3 pts
35 calls · 89.7% 4 puts
bias +79.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
No open interest stored for today’s chain.
Equals
+79.5
100% of the score comes from today’s volume, 0% from open interest. Smoothing and calibration add +30.2. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +12.43% · tape −18.4 · corr 0.11
● peak +99 ▼ low −26.3 ◆ +124.1 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-08 $9 $7 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 12.43% while the tape has faded 18.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 40 (18th pct) · quality 44 · 39 contracts
note Jumpy 0.76 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.01% avg, n=91,227
pass Tape has led price tape has led MTLS’s price by 3 days (r=-0.49, n=43)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on MTLS is poor 9% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 1.39×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $8.50 highlighted. The $5 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 0). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on MTLS Proof 8 Oct · 4h
$8.50 → $8.50
+0.00% flat
8 Oct · 4h
$8.50 → $8.50
+0.00% flat
8 Oct · 4h
$8.50 → $8.50
+0.00% flat
8 Oct · 4h
$8.50 → $8.50
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1604 of these 2000 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report 27 Aug BMO
P/E 101.15 · fwd 34.55 Beta 0.497
52w $4.30–$7.95 IV rank —
Ask about MTLS answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +98 to +79 this week?
FlowDesk
It moved over several days. The composite was +95.2 on 4 Oct, then fell to +87.4 on 5 Oct as the price moved from $8.50 to $8.50. It’s at +79.5 now.+49.3 from volume. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 11:28 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our MTLS record what it is? What’s the $5 wall?
What our data projects
−0.06 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#350 of 724 · helped by call/put volume tilt. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Materialise NV · Technology
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+79.5 ┆ +79.5 yday evidence
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
Why it’s +79
+49.3 volume · 90% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +124.1 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-08 $9 $7 Price +12.43%, tape −18.4 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 40 (18th pct) · quality 44 · 39 contracts
note Jumpy 0.76 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on MTLS is poor 9% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 1.39×
What traded today · 62%
+49.3 pts
35 calls · 4 puts · bias +79.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +12.43% · tape −18.4 · corr 0.11
● peak +99 ▼ low −26.3 ◆ +124.1 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-08 $9 $7 Over 30 days, price has risen 12.43% while the tape has faded 18.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
9% hit rate · 2000 closed
8 Oct · 4h
$8.50 → $8.50
+0.00% flat
8 Oct · 4h
$8.50 → $8.50
+0.00% flat
8 Oct · 4h
$8.50 → $8.50
+0.00% flat
8 Oct · 4h
$8.50 → $8.50
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MTLS
Why did the score drop from +98 to +79 this week?
It moved over several days. The composite was +95.2 on 4 Oct, then fell to +87.4 on 5 Oct as the price moved from $8.50 to $8.50. It’s at +79.5 now.+49.3 from volume. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 11:28 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our MTLS record what it is? What’s the $5 wall?