MU Micron Technology Inc
$1,088.00 · +0.00% vs $1,088.00 close · scored 11:28 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 68/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 38.5 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 68/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+32.4 composite┆ −6.0 yesterday (+38.5) +16.9 vs a week ago
Evidence
68 / 100 · top 17% today
399,761 contracts · quality 87 · stability 0.89
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
What traded today · weight 62%
+20.1 pts
264,723 calls · 66.2% 135,038 puts
bias +32.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
No open interest stored for today’s chain.
Equals
+32.4
100% of the score comes from today’s volume, 0% from open interest. Smoothing and calibration add +12.3. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +7.02% · tape +24.2 · corr 0.36
● peak +39 ▼ low −7.0 ◆ +38.5 in a day 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-08 $1,097 $910 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 7.02% while the tape has firmed 24.2 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 68 (83th pct) · quality 87 · 399,761 contracts
pass Stable 0.89 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 29
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +1.17% avg, n=12,971
pass Tape has led price tape has led MU’s price by 1 day (r=0.25, n=49)
note Our record on MU is mixed 38% hit rate on 628 closed calls · payoff 2.53×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $1,088.00 highlighted. The $5 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 0). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
8 Oct · 4h
$1,088.00 → $1,088.00
+0.00% flat
5 Oct · 4h
$1,066.81 → $1,066.81
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$1,083.33 → $1,083.33
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$1,097.39 → $1,097.39
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 300 of these 628 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 14.29 · fwd 6.52 Beta 2.386
52w $179.61–$1,255.00 IV rank —
Ask about MU answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +16 to +32 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −6.0 on 7 Oct, then rose to +32.4 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $1,066.81 to $1,088.00. It’s at +32.4 now.+20.1 from volume. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 50 pts stock_scores · 11:28 method · 62/38
Compare with INTC Why is our MU record what it is? What’s the $5 wall?
What our data projects
+0.07 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#230 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Micron Technology Inc · Semiconductors
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+32.4 ┆ −6.0 yday evidence
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
Why it’s +32
+20.1 volume · 66% calls
50 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +38.5 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-08 $1,097 $910 Price +7.02%, tape +24.2 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 68 (83th pct) · quality 87 · 399,761 contracts
pass Stable 0.89 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 29
note Our record on MU is mixed 38% hit rate on 628 closed calls · payoff 2.53×
What traded today · 62%
+20.1 pts
264,723 calls · 135,038 puts · bias +32.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +7.02% · tape +24.2 · corr 0.36
● peak +39 ▼ low −7.0 ◆ +38.5 in a day 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-08 $1,097 $910 Over 30 days, price has risen 7.02% while the tape has firmed 24.2 points. They agree.
38% hit rate · 628 closed
8 Oct · 4h
$1,088.00 → $1,088.00
+0.00% flat
5 Oct · 4h
$1,066.81 → $1,066.81
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$1,083.33 → $1,083.33
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$1,097.39 → $1,097.39
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about MU
Why did the score rise from +16 to +32 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −6.0 on 7 Oct, then rose to +32.4 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $1,066.81 to $1,088.00. It’s at +32.4 now.+20.1 from volume. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 50 pts stock_scores · 11:28 method · 62/38
Compare with INTC Why is our MU record what it is? What’s the $5 wall?