MUR
MUR
$43.09 · +0.00% vs $43.09 close · scored 02:22 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 62/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 62/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+59.3 composite
Evidence
62 / 100 · top 16% today
1,535 contracts · quality 65 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=66,298
What traded today · weight 62%
+34.5 pts
1,194 calls · 77.8%341 puts
bias +55.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+24.9 pts
7,166 call OI · 82.7%1,497 put OI
bias +65.4 × 0.38
Equals
+59.3
58% of the score comes from today’s volume, 42% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring MUR today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 62 (84th pct) · quality 65 · 1,535 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidstrongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=66,298
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on MUR
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $43.09 highlighted. The $40 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,154).
21 Oct · 4h
$43.09 → $43.09
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
MUR
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+59.3evidence 62
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=66,298
Why it’s +59
+34.5 volume · 78% calls+24.9 OI · 83% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 62 (84th pct) · quality 65 · 1,535 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=66,298
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on MUR
What traded today · 62%
+34.5 pts
1,194 calls · 341 puts · bias +55.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+24.9 pts
7,166 call OI · 1,497 put OI · bias +65.4
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$43.09 → $43.09
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $40 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about MUR
Not enough tape history on MUR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.