NBR NBR
$79.20 · scored 08:05 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 29/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 29/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+45.4 composite
Evidence
29 / 100 · top 96% today
3 contracts · quality 35 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.04% · n=83,764
What traded today · weight 62%
+62.0 pts
3 calls · 100.0% 0 puts
bias +100.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−16.6 pts
377 call OI · 28.2% 960 put OI
bias −43.6 × 0.38
Equals
+45.4
79% of the score comes from today’s volume, 21% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring NBR today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 29 (4th pct) · quality 35 · 3 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.04% avg, n=83,764
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on NBR
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $79.20 highlighted. The $80 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 493). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
13 Oct · 4h
$79.20 → $79.20
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
NBR
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+45.4 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.04% · n=83,764
Why it’s +45
+62.0 volume · 100% calls−16.6 OI · 28% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 29 (4th pct) · quality 35 · 3 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.04% avg, n=83,764
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on NBR
What traded today · 62%
+62.0 pts
3 calls · 0 puts · bias +100.0
What’s on the books · 38%
−16.6 pts
377 call OI · 960 put OI · bias −43.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
13 Oct · 4h
$79.20 → $79.20
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $80 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NBR
Not enough tape history on NBR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our NBR record what it is? What’s the $80 wall?