NEM Newmont Corporation
$117.84 · +1.98% vs $115.55 close · scored 19:07 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 64/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 64/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+11.9 composite+41.7 vs a week ago
Evidence
64 / 100 · top 28% today
4,783 contracts · quality 79 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.25% · n=9,682
What traded today · weight 62%
+6.9 pts
2,657 calls · 55.6% 2,126 puts
bias +11.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+5.0 pts
49,248 call OI · 56.6% 37,735 put OI
bias +13.2 × 0.38
Equals
+11.9
58% of the score comes from today’s volume, 42% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.45% · tape −32.5 · corr 0.44
● peak +61 ◆ +81.5 in a day ▼ low −29.8 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-19 09-26 10-03 10-10 $130 $114 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.45% while the tape has faded 32.5 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 64 (72th pct) · quality 79 · 4,783 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=9,682
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led NEM’s tape by 2 days (r=0.24, n=45)
pass Our record on NEM is good 66% hit rate on 779 closed calls · payoff 1.14×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $117.84 highlighted. The $140 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 12,176). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
10 Oct · 4h
$117.84 → $117.84
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$117.84 → $117.84
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$117.84 → $117.84
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$117.84 → $117.84
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 150 of these 779 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 14.30 · fwd 12.51 Beta 0.555
52w $76.05–$135.29 IV rank —
Ask about NEM answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −30 to +12 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −29.8 on 7 Oct, then rose to +33.3 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $116.39 to $113.54. It’s at +11.9 now.+6.9 from volume and +5.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 19:07 method · 62/38
Compare with NB Why is our NEM record what it is? What’s the $140 wall?
What our data projects
−0.21 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#416 of 635 · helped by quality, tape composite, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $140 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Newmont Corporation · Metals & Mining
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+11.9 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.25% · n=9,682
Why it’s +12
+6.9 volume · 56% calls+5.0 OI · 57% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +81.5 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-19 09-26 10-03 10-10 $130 $114 Price −8.45%, tape −32.5 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 64 (72th pct) · quality 79 · 4,783 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=9,682
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led NEM’s tape by 2 days (r=0.24, n=45)
What traded today · 62%
+6.9 pts
2,657 calls · 2,126 puts · bias +11.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+5.0 pts
49,248 call OI · 37,735 put OI · bias +13.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.45% · tape −32.5 · corr 0.44
● peak +61 ◆ +81.5 in a day ▼ low −29.8 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-19 09-26 10-03 10-10 $130 $114 Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.45% while the tape has faded 32.5 points. They agree.
66% hit rate · 779 closed
10 Oct · 4h
$117.84 → $117.84
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$117.84 → $117.84
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$117.84 → $117.84
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$117.84 → $117.84
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $140 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NEM
Why did the score rise from −30 to +12 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −29.8 on 7 Oct, then rose to +33.3 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $116.39 to $113.54. It’s at +11.9 now.+6.9 from volume and +5.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 19:07 method · 62/38
Compare with NB Why is our NEM record what it is? What’s the $140 wall?