NET Cloudflare Inc
$348.04 · +1.80% vs $341.89 close · scored 15:44 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 61/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 61/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bearish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−13.5 composite−20.8 vs a week ago
Evidence
61 / 100 · top 35% today
4,201 contracts · quality 79 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid +0.98% · n=6,363
What traded today · weight 62%
−17.4 pts
1,511 calls · 36.0% 2,690 puts
bias −28.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+3.9 pts
23,683 call OI · 55.1% 19,263 put OI
bias +10.3 × 0.38
Equals
−13.5
82% of the score comes from today’s volume, 18% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +20.26% · tape −43.8 · corr 0.05
● peak +39 ◆ −26.3 in a day ▼ low −13.5 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $354 $273 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 20.26% while the tape has faded 43.8 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 79 · 4,201 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.98% avg, n=6,363
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led NET’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.24, n=42)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on NET is poor 14% hit rate on 1105 closed calls · payoff 0.46×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $348.04 highlighted. The $380 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,796). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
14%
hit rate · 1105 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$348.04 → $348.04
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$341.89 → $348.04
+1.80% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$341.89 → $348.04
+1.80% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$341.89 → $348.04
+1.80% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 298 of these 1105 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — · fwd 276.75 Beta 1.356
52w $158.83–$367.43 IV rank —
Ask about NET answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +7 to −13 this week?
FlowDesk
It moved over several days. The composite was −2.7 on 8 Oct, then fell to −13.5 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $342.97 to $341.89. It’s at −13.5 now.−17.4 from volume and +3.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 43 pts stock_scores · 15:44 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our NET record what it is? What’s the $380 wall?
What our data projects
−0.05 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#346 of 724 · helped by tape composite, volatility (20 days), composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $380 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Cloudflare Inc · Technology
Mildly bearish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−13.5 evidence
hasn’t paid +0.98% · n=6,363
Why it’s −13
−17.4 volume · 36% calls+3.9 OI · 55% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −26.3 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $354 $273 Price +20.26%, tape −43.8 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 61 (65th pct) · quality 79 · 4,201 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.98% avg, n=6,363
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led NET’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.24, n=42)
What traded today · 62%
−17.4 pts
1,511 calls · 2,690 puts · bias −28.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+3.9 pts
23,683 call OI · 19,263 put OI · bias +10.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +20.26% · tape −43.8 · corr 0.05
● peak +39 ◆ −26.3 in a day ▼ low −13.5 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $354 $273 Over 30 days, price has risen 20.26% while the tape has faded 43.8 points. The two are drifting apart.
14% hit rate · 1105 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$348.04 → $348.04
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$341.89 → $348.04
+1.80% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$341.89 → $348.04
+1.80% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$341.89 → $348.04
+1.80% miss
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $380 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NET
Why did the score drop from +7 to −13 this week?
It moved over several days. The composite was −2.7 on 8 Oct, then fell to −13.5 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $342.97 to $341.89. It’s at −13.5 now.−17.4 from volume and +3.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 43 pts stock_scores · 15:44 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our NET record what it is? What’s the $380 wall?