NEWT NEWT
$10.59 · scored 07:57 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 40/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 40/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+26.9 composite
Evidence
40 / 100 · top 76% today
548 contracts · quality 50 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
What traded today · weight 62%
+60.4 pts
541 calls · 98.7% 7 puts
bias +97.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−33.5 pts
5 call OI · 6.0% 79 put OI
bias −88.1 × 0.38
Equals
+26.9
64% of the score comes from today’s volume, 36% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring NEWT today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 40 (24th pct) · quality 50 · 548 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on NEWT
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $10.59 highlighted. The $7.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 60). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on NEWT Proof We haven’t checked a call on NEWT yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
NEWT
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+26.9 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.05% · n=77,942
Why it’s +27
+60.4 volume · 99% calls−33.5 OI · 6% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 40 (24th pct) · quality 50 · 548 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.05% avg, n=77,942
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on NEWT
What traded today · 62%
+60.4 pts
541 calls · 7 puts · bias +97.4
What’s on the books · 38%
−33.5 pts
5 call OI · 79 put OI · bias −88.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $7.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NEWT
Not enough tape history on NEWT for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our NEWT record what it is? What’s the $7.5 wall?