NFG
NFG
$79.85 · +0.00% vs $79.85 close · scored 02:22 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 54/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 54/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+9.6 composite
Evidence
54 / 100 · top 37% today
112 contracts · quality 52 · stability 0.00
neutral · −2.16% · n=8,572
What traded today · weight 62%
+7.8 pts
63 calls · 56.3%49 puts
bias +12.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+1.9 pts
2,406 call OI · 52.5%2,178 put OI
bias +5.0 × 0.38
Equals
+9.6
80% of the score comes from today’s volume, 20% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring NFG today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lotconfidence 54 (63th pct) · quality 52 · 112 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
noteNeutral reads make no callneutral · balanced · low liquidity → −2.16% avg, n=8,572
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on NFG
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $79.85 highlighted. The $75 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,715).
21 Oct · 4h
$79.85 → $79.85
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
NFG
Neutral, moderately evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+9.6evidence 54
neutral · −2.16% · n=8,572
Why it’s +10
+7.8 volume · 56% calls+1.9 OI · 52% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
noteSome evidence, not a lot
confidence 54 (63th pct) · quality 52 · 112 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
noteNeutral reads make no call
neutral · balanced · low liquidity → −2.16% avg, n=8,572
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on NFG
What traded today · 62%
+7.8 pts
63 calls · 49 puts · bias +12.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+1.9 pts
2,406 call OI · 2,178 put OI · bias +5.0
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$79.85 → $79.85
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $75 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about NFG
Not enough tape history on NFG for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.