NFLX Netflix Inc
$71.57 · +0.00% vs $71.57 close · scored 14:42 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 86/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 86/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+51.1 composite+18.5 vs a week ago
Evidence
86 / 100 · top 3% today
298,446 contracts · quality 85 · stability 0.00
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
What traded today · weight 62%
+37.5 pts
239,598 calls · 80.3% 58,848 puts
bias +60.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+13.6 pts
449,475 call OI · 67.8% 212,998 put OI
bias +35.7 × 0.38
Equals
+51.1
73% of the score comes from today’s volume, 27% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.54% · tape +19.8 · corr -0.09
◆ +33.1 in a day ▼ low +9.0 ● peak +51 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $83 $67 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.54% while the tape has firmed 19.8 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 86 (97th pct) · quality 85 · 298,446 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +1.17% avg, n=12,971
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led NFLX’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.33, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on NFLX is poor 10% hit rate on 1673 closed calls · payoff 0.49×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $71.57 highlighted. The $75 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 67,836). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on NFLX Proof 10%
hit rate · 1673 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$71.57 → $71.57
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$71.57 → $71.57
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$71.57 → $71.57
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$71.57 → $71.57
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1296 of these 1673 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 20.46 · fwd 19.21 Beta 1.607
52w $65.08–$124.86 IV rank —
Ask about NFLX answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +32 to +51 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +33.0 on 6 Oct, then rose to +51.0 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $67.06 to $69.70. It’s at +51.1 now.+37.5 from volume and +13.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our NFLX record what it is? What’s the $75 wall?
What our data projects
+0.14 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#196 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $75 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Netflix Inc · Media
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+51.1 evidence
has paid +1.17% · n=12,971
Why it’s +51
+37.5 volume · 80% calls+13.6 OI · 68% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +33.1 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $83 $67 Price −8.54%, tape +19.8 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 86 (97th pct) · quality 85 · 298,446 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led NFLX’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.33, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
What traded today · 62%
+37.5 pts
239,598 calls · 58,848 puts · bias +60.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+13.6 pts
449,475 call OI · 212,998 put OI · bias +35.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.54% · tape +19.8 · corr -0.09
◆ +33.1 in a day ▼ low +9.0 ● peak +51 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $83 $67 Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.54% while the tape has firmed 19.8 points. The two are drifting apart.
10% hit rate · 1673 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$71.57 → $71.57
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$71.57 → $71.57
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$71.57 → $71.57
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$71.57 → $71.57
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $75 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NFLX
Why did the score rise from +32 to +51 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +33.0 on 6 Oct, then rose to +51.0 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $67.06 to $69.70. It’s at +51.1 now.+37.5 from volume and +13.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with AMC Why is our NFLX record what it is? What’s the $75 wall?