NKE Nike Inc
$35.02 · +0.81% vs $34.74 close · scored 15:49 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 73/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 73/100
For the read
evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+6.1 composite+4.4 vs a week ago
Evidence
73 / 100 · top 11% today
32,797 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
What traded today · weight 62%
−4.4 pts
15,244 calls · 46.5% 17,553 puts
bias −7.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+10.5 pts
349,482 call OI · 63.8% 198,293 put OI
bias +27.6 × 0.38
Equals
+6.1
29% of the score comes from today’s volume, 71% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.82% · tape −32.3 · corr 0.52
▼ low −7.9 ◆ +41.0 in a day ● peak +43 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $40 $34 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.82% while the tape has faded 32.3 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 73 (89th pct) · quality 82 · 32,797 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led NKE’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.25, n=51)
against Our record on NKE is poor 14% hit rate on 1911 closed calls · payoff 1.03×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $35.02 highlighted. The $35 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 76,308). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
14%
hit rate · 1911 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$35.02 → $35.02
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$36.50 → $35.02
−4.05% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$34.39 → $35.02
+1.85% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$34.74 → $35.02
+0.81% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1401 of these 1911 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report 28 Sep
P/E 17.26 · fwd 21.40 Beta 1.058
52w $35.22–$76.97 IV rank —
Ask about NKE answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s +6.1?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 0.8 points of +6.1 across the last 8 sessions.−4.4 from volume and +10.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 15:49 method · 62/38
Compare with LEVI Why is our NKE record what it is? What’s the $35 wall?
What our data projects
−0.24 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#444 of 635 · helped by quality, tape composite, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $35 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Nike Inc · Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Neutral, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+6.1 evidence
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
Why it’s +6
−4.4 volume · 46% calls+10.5 OI · 64% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +41.0 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $40 $34 Price −8.82%, tape −32.3 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 73 (89th pct) · quality 82 · 32,797 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led NKE’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.25, n=51)
What traded today · 62%
−4.4 pts
15,244 calls · 17,553 puts · bias −7.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+10.5 pts
349,482 call OI · 198,293 put OI · bias +27.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.82% · tape −32.3 · corr 0.52
▼ low −7.9 ◆ +41.0 in a day ● peak +43 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $40 $34 Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.82% while the tape has faded 32.3 points. They agree.
14% hit rate · 1911 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$35.02 → $35.02
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$36.50 → $35.02
−4.05% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$34.39 → $35.02
+1.85% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$34.74 → $35.02
+0.81% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $35 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NKE
What is behind today’s +6.1?
The composite has held within 0.8 points of +6.1 across the last 8 sessions.−4.4 from volume and +10.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 15:49 method · 62/38
Compare with LEVI Why is our NKE record what it is? What’s the $35 wall?