NMFC NMFC
$6.74 · +0.00% vs $6.74 close · scored 08:45 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 31/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 31/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−71.4 composite
Evidence
31 / 100 · top 95% today
0 contracts · quality 19 · stability 0.00
has paid −2.49% · n=1,738
No call/put volume stored for today, so the score can’t be split.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring NMFC today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 31 (5th pct) · quality 19 · 0 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → −2.49% avg, n=1,738
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on NMFC
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $6.74 highlighted. The $7.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 32).
05 Our record on NMFC Proof 19 Oct · 4h
$6.74 → $6.74
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
NMFC
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−71.4 evidence
has paid −2.49% · n=1,738
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 31 (5th pct) · quality 19 · 0 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on NMFC
No call/put volume stored for today.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
19 Oct · 4h
$6.74 → $6.74
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $7.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NMFC
Not enough tape history on NMFC for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our NMFC record what it is? What’s the $7.5 wall?