NMIH NMIH
$40.77 · +0.00% vs $40.77 close · scored 03:17 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 40/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 40/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+10.2 composite
Evidence
40 / 100 · top 79% today
49 contracts · quality 47 · stability 0.00
has paid +0.07% · n=7,855
What traded today · weight 62%
+6.3 pts
27 calls · 55.1% 22 puts
bias +10.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+3.8 pts
289 call OI · 55.0% 236 put OI
bias +10.1 × 0.38
Equals
+10.2
62% of the score comes from today’s volume, 38% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring NMIH today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 40 (21th pct) · quality 47 · 49 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → +0.07% avg, n=7,855
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on NMIH
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $40.77 highlighted. The $30 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 251).
05 Our record on NMIH Proof 22 Oct · 4h
$40.77 → $40.77
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
NMIH
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+10.2 evidence
has paid +0.07% · n=7,855
Why it’s +10
+6.3 volume · 55% calls+3.8 OI · 55% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 40 (21th pct) · quality 47 · 49 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on NMIH
What traded today · 62%
+6.3 pts
27 calls · 22 puts · bias +10.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+3.8 pts
289 call OI · 236 put OI · bias +10.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$40.77 → $40.77
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $30 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NMIH
Not enough tape history on NMIH for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our NMIH record what it is? What’s the $30 wall?