NOV NOV
$18.89 · scored 08:05 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 55/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 55/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+89.4 composite
Evidence
55 / 100 · top 45% today
214 contracts · quality 46 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.04% · n=83,764
What traded today · weight 62%
+53.9 pts
200 calls · 93.5% 14 puts
bias +86.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+35.5 pts
2,961 call OI · 96.8% 99 put OI
bias +93.5 × 0.38
Equals
+89.4
60% of the score comes from today’s volume, 40% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring NOV today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (55th pct) · quality 46 · 214 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.04% avg, n=83,764
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on NOV
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $18.89 highlighted. The $21 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,093). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
13 Oct · 4h
$18.89 → $18.89
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
NOV
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+89.4 evidence 55
hasn’t paid −0.04% · n=83,764
Why it’s +89
+53.9 volume · 93% calls+35.5 OI · 97% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 55 (55th pct) · quality 46 · 214 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.04% avg, n=83,764
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on NOV
What traded today · 62%
+53.9 pts
200 calls · 14 puts · bias +86.9
What’s on the books · 38%
+35.5 pts
2,961 call OI · 99 put OI · bias +93.5
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
13 Oct · 4h
$18.89 → $18.89
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $21 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NOV
Not enough tape history on NOV for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our NOV record what it is? What’s the $21 wall?