NVGS NVGS
$21.33 · scored 08:45 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 33/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 33/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−40.0 composite
Evidence
33 / 100 · top 91% today
24 contracts · quality 42 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.32% · n=13,908
What traded today · weight 62%
−56.8 pts
1 calls · 4.2% 23 puts
bias −91.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+16.8 pts
331 call OI · 72.1% 128 put OI
bias +44.2 × 0.38
Equals
−40.0
77% of the score comes from today’s volume, 23% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring NVGS today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 33 (9th pct) · quality 42 · 24 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.32% avg, n=13,908
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on NVGS
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $21.33 highlighted. The $23 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 205).
05 Our record on NVGS Proof We haven’t checked a call on NVGS yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
NVGS
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−40.0 evidence
has paid −0.32% · n=13,908
Why it’s −40
−56.8 volume · 4% calls+16.8 OI · 72% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 33 (9th pct) · quality 42 · 24 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on NVGS
What traded today · 62%
−56.8 pts
1 calls · 23 puts · bias −91.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+16.8 pts
331 call OI · 128 put OI · bias +44.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $23 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NVGS
Not enough tape history on NVGS for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our NVGS record what it is? What’s the $23 wall?