NWN NWN
$48.80 · +0.00% vs $48.80 close · scored 03:18 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 44/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 44/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+41.6 composite
Evidence
44 / 100 · top 69% today
69 contracts · quality 46 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.14% · n=59,823
What traded today · weight 62%
+24.3 pts
48 calls · 69.6% 21 puts
bias +39.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+17.3 pts
305 call OI · 72.8% 114 put OI
bias +45.6 × 0.38
Equals
+41.6
58% of the score comes from today’s volume, 42% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring NWN today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 44 (31th pct) · quality 46 · 69 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.14% avg, n=59,823
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on NWN
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $48.80 highlighted. The $50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 183).
22 Oct · 4h
$48.80 → $48.80
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
NWN
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+41.6 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.14% · n=59,823
Why it’s +42
+24.3 volume · 70% calls+17.3 OI · 73% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 44 (31th pct) · quality 46 · 69 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.14% avg, n=59,823
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on NWN
What traded today · 62%
+24.3 pts
48 calls · 21 puts · bias +39.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+17.3 pts
305 call OI · 114 put OI · bias +45.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$48.80 → $48.80
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $50 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about NWN
Not enough tape history on NWN for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our NWN record what it is? What’s the $50 wall?