O Realty Income Corp
$54.02 · −0.40% vs $54.24 close · scored 15:48 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 62/100
What changed
Composite weakened 13.2 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 62/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read
The read
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+11.8 composite┆ +25.0 yesterday (−13.2) −33.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
62 / 100 · top 32% today
1,475 contracts · quality 84 · stability 0.74
hasn’t paid −0.25% · n=9,682
What traded today · weight 62%
−1.8 pts
716 calls · 48.5% 759 puts
bias −2.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+13.6 pts
58,325 call OI · 67.9% 27,554 put OI
bias +35.8 × 0.38
Equals
+11.8
12% of the score comes from today’s volume, 88% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −11.23% · tape +26.9 · corr -0.45
▼ low −37.6 ● peak +66 ◆ −53.2 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $62 $53 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 11.23% while the tape has firmed 26.9 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 62 (68th pct) · quality 84 · 1,475 contracts
note Jumpy 0.74 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=9,682
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led O’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.30, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on O is poor 16% hit rate on 342 closed calls · payoff 1.08×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $54.02 highlighted. The $57.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 26,845). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$54.02 → $54.02
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$54.02 → $54.02
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$54.17 → $54.02
−0.28% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$54.17 → $54.02
−0.28% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 170 of these 342 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 40.35 · fwd 32.76 Beta 0.663
52w $53.33–$67.94 IV rank —
Ask about O answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +42 to +12 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +65.8 on 3 Oct, then fell to +12.7 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $54.13 to $54.13. It’s at +11.8 now.−1.8 from volume and +13.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:48 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our O record what it is? What’s the $57.5 wall?
What our data projects
−0.07 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#315 of 635 · helped by quality, price momentum (5 days), last day's move. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $57.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Realty Income Corp · Real Estate
Mildly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+11.8 ┆ +25.0 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.25% · n=9,682
Why it’s +12
−1.8 volume · 49% calls+13.6 OI · 68% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −53.2 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $62 $53 Price −11.23%, tape +26.9 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 62 (68th pct) · quality 84 · 1,475 contracts
note Jumpy 0.74 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → −0.25% avg, n=9,682
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led O’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.30, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
−1.8 pts
716 calls · 759 puts · bias −2.9
What’s on the books · 38%
+13.6 pts
58,325 call OI · 27,554 put OI · bias +35.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −11.23% · tape +26.9 · corr -0.45
▼ low −37.6 ● peak +66 ◆ −53.2 in a day 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $62 $53 Over 30 days, price has fallen 11.23% while the tape has firmed 26.9 points. The two are drifting apart.
16% hit rate · 342 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$54.02 → $54.02
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$54.02 → $54.02
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$54.17 → $54.02
−0.28% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$54.17 → $54.02
−0.28% miss
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $57.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about O
Why did the score drop from +42 to +12 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +65.8 on 3 Oct, then fell to +12.7 on 4 Oct as the price moved from $54.13 to $54.13. It’s at +11.8 now.−1.8 from volume and +13.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:48 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our O record what it is? What’s the $57.5 wall?