OOMA Ooma Inc
$20.00 · −0.50% vs $20.10 close · scored 15:44 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 52/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 52/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+40.4 composite┆ +40.4 yesterday (+0.0) −34.8 vs a week ago
Evidence
52 / 100 · top 58% today
145 contracts · quality 58 · stability 0.78
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
What traded today · weight 62%
+15.8 pts
91 calls · 62.8% 54 puts
bias +25.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+24.6 pts
1,657 call OI · 82.4% 355 put OI
bias +64.7 × 0.38
Equals
+40.4
39% of the score comes from today’s volume, 61% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −13.36% · tape −45.4 · corr 0.15
▼ low −2.5 ◆ +88.8 in a day ● peak +86 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $23 $20 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 13.36% while the tape has faded 45.4 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 52 (42th pct) · quality 58 · 145 contracts
note Jumpy 0.78 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → +0.01% avg, n=91,227
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led OOMA’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.22, n=43)
against Our record on OOMA is poor 34% hit rate on 283 closed calls · payoff 1.40×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $20.00 highlighted. The $17.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 480). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on OOMA Proof
9 Oct · 4h
$20.00 → $20.00
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$20.10 → $20.00
−0.50% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$20.10 → $20.00
−0.50% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$20.10 → $20.00
−0.50% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 152 of these 283 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report 26 Aug AMC
P/E 52.52 · fwd 15.20 Beta 1.140
52w $9.79–$26.19 IV rank —
Ask about OOMA answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +75 to +40 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +86.4 on 6 Oct, then fell to +40.3 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $21.00 to $21.00. It’s at +40.4 now. Today’s +40.4 breaks down as +15.8 from volume and +24.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 15:44 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our OOMA record what it is? What’s the $17.5 wall?
What our data projects
+0.20 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#171 of 724 · helped by price momentum (5 days), last day's move, composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How
Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $17.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Ooma Inc · Technology
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+40.4 ┆ +40.4 yday evidence 52
has paid +0.01% · n=91,227
Why it’s +40
+15.8 volume · 63% calls+24.6 OI · 82% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +88.8 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $23 $20
Price −13.36%, tape −45.4 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 52 (42th pct) · quality 58 · 145 contracts
note Jumpy 0.78 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 30
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led OOMA’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.22, n=43)
against Our record on OOMA is poor 34% hit rate on 283 closed calls · payoff 1.40×
What traded today · 62%
+15.8 pts
91 calls · 54 puts · bias +25.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+24.6 pts
1,657 call OI · 355 put OI · bias +64.7
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −13.36% · tape −45.4 · corr 0.15
▼ low −2.5 ◆ +88.8 in a day ● peak +86 09-25 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-08 10-09 $23 $20 Over 30 days, price has fallen 13.36% while the tape has faded 45.4 points. They agree.
34% hit rate · 283 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$20.00 → $20.00
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$20.10 → $20.00
−0.50% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$20.10 → $20.00
−0.50% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$20.10 → $20.00
−0.50% miss
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $17.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about OOMA
Why did the score drop from +75 to +40 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +86.4 on 6 Oct, then fell to +40.3 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $21.00 to $21.00. It’s at +40.4 now. Today’s +40.4 breaks down as +15.8 from volume and +24.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 15:44 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our OOMA record what it is? What’s the $17.5 wall?