OPEN Opendoor Technologies Inc
$2.22 · −3.06% vs $2.29 close · scored 10:32 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 76/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is current.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 76/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+67.3 composite┆ +67.3 yesterday (+0.0) +3.7 vs a week ago
Evidence
76 / 100 · top 6% today
5,625 contracts · quality 87 · stability 0.92
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+48.4 pts
5,009 calls · 89.0% 616 puts
bias +78.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+18.8 pts
72,709 call OI · 74.8% 24,497 put OI
bias +49.6 × 0.38
Equals
+67.3
72% of the score comes from today’s volume, 28% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −25.72% · tape +10.5 · corr 0.16
▼ low +33.0 ◆ −34.2 in a day ● peak +71 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-09 10-10 $3 $2 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 25.72% while the tape has firmed 10.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 76 (94th pct) · quality 87 · 5,625 contracts
pass Stable 0.92 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led OPEN’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.22, n=51)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
pass Our record on OPEN is good 60% hit rate on 1829 closed calls · payoff 1.35×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $2.22 highlighted. The $2 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 17,498). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on OPEN Proof 60%
hit rate · 1829 closed
10 Oct · 4h
$2.22 → $2.22
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$2.22 → $2.22
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.22 → $2.22
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.22 → $2.22
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 511 of these 1829 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E — Beta 3.812
52w $2.13–$9.60 IV rank —
Ask about OPEN answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +64 to +67 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +63.5 on 7 Oct, then rose to +70.9 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $2.44 to $2.27. It’s at +67.3 now.+48.4 from volume and +18.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 10:32 method · 62/38
Compare with SBAC Why is our OPEN record what it is? What’s the $2 wall?
What our data projects
+0.91 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#7 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $2 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Opendoor Technologies Inc · Real Estate
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+67.3 ┆ +67.3 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +67
+48.4 volume · 89% calls+18.8 OI · 75% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −34.2 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-09 10-10 $3 $2 Price −25.72%, tape +10.5 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 76 (94th pct) · quality 87 · 5,625 contracts
pass Stable 0.92 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led OPEN’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.22, n=51)
What traded today · 62%
+48.4 pts
5,009 calls · 616 puts · bias +78.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+18.8 pts
72,709 call OI · 24,497 put OI · bias +49.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −25.72% · tape +10.5 · corr 0.16
▼ low +33.0 ◆ −34.2 in a day ● peak +71 09-27 09-29 10-01 10-03 10-05 10-07 10-09 10-10 $3 $2 Over 30 days, price has fallen 25.72% while the tape has firmed 10.5 points. The two are drifting apart.
60% hit rate · 1829 closed
10 Oct · 4h
$2.22 → $2.22
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$2.22 → $2.22
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.22 → $2.22
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$2.22 → $2.22
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $2 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about OPEN
Why did the score rise from +64 to +67 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +63.5 on 7 Oct, then rose to +70.9 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $2.44 to $2.27. It’s at +67.3 now.+48.4 from volume and +18.8 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 10:32 method · 62/38
Compare with SBAC Why is our OPEN record what it is? What’s the $2 wall?