ORCL Oracle Corp
$143.57 · +0.00% vs $143.57 close · scored 10:43 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 91/100
What changed
Composite weakened 7.8 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 91/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Mildly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+23.1 composite┆ +30.9 yesterday (−7.8) −7.8 vs a week ago
Evidence
91 / 100 · top 1% today
154,903 contracts · quality 97 · stability 0.93
has paid +1.05% · n=9,329
What traded today · weight 62%
+14.6 pts
95,678 calls · 61.8% 59,225 puts
bias +23.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+8.5 pts
459,704 call OI · 61.2% 291,428 put OI
bias +22.4 × 0.38
Equals
+23.1
63% of the score comes from today’s volume, 37% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −9.58% · tape −7.5 · corr -0.05
▼ low +7.8 ◆ −32.5 in a day ● peak +44 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-10 $164 $133 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 9.58% while the tape has faded 7.5 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 91 (99th pct) · quality 97 · 154,903 contracts
pass Stable 0.93 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
pass This kind of read has paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +1.05% avg, n=9,329
pass Tape has led price tape has led ORCL’s price by 1 day (r=0.22, n=49)
against Our record on ORCL is poor 20% hit rate on 825 closed calls · payoff 4.29×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $143.57 highlighted. The $155 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 56,491). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on ORCL Proof 6 Oct · 4h
$143.57 → $143.57
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$142.24 → $142.24
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$139.60 → $139.60
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$138.07 → $138.07
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 529 of these 825 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 22.74 · fwd 16.54 Beta 1.777
52w $114.50–$322.54 IV rank —
Ask about ORCL answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +32 to +23 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +30.9 on 5 Oct, then fell to +23.1 on 6 Oct as the price moved from $142.30 to $143.57. It’s at +23.1 now.+14.6 from volume and +8.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 50 pts stock_scores · 10:43 method · 62/38
Compare with SQ Why is our ORCL record what it is? What’s the $155 wall?
What our data projects
+0.43 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#85 of 635 · helped by quality, confidence, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $155 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Oracle Corp · Technology
Mildly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+23.1 ┆ +30.9 yday evidence
has paid +1.05% · n=9,329
Why it’s +23
+14.6 volume · 62% calls+8.5 OI · 61% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −32.5 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-10 $164 $133 Price −9.58%, tape −7.5 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 91 (99th pct) · quality 97 · 154,903 contracts
pass Stable 0.93 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against Our record on ORCL is poor 20% hit rate on 825 closed calls · payoff 4.29×
What traded today · 62%
+14.6 pts
95,678 calls · 59,225 puts · bias +23.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+8.5 pts
459,704 call OI · 291,428 put OI · bias +22.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −9.58% · tape −7.5 · corr -0.05
▼ low +7.8 ◆ −32.5 in a day ● peak +44 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-10 $164 $133 Over 30 days, price has fallen 9.58% while the tape has faded 7.5 points. They agree.
20% hit rate · 825 closed
6 Oct · 4h
$143.57 → $143.57
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$142.24 → $142.24
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$139.60 → $139.60
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$138.07 → $138.07
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $155 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about ORCL
Why did the score drop from +32 to +23 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +30.9 on 5 Oct, then fell to +23.1 on 6 Oct as the price moved from $142.30 to $143.57. It’s at +23.1 now.+14.6 from volume and +8.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 50 pts stock_scores · 10:43 method · 62/38
Compare with SQ Why is our ORCL record what it is? What’s the $155 wall?