ORRF
ORRF
$41.38 · scored 11:39 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 26/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 26/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+23.4 composite
Evidence
26 / 100 · top 100% today
19 contracts · quality 38 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.08% · n=35,053
What traded today · weight 62%
+42.4 pts
16 calls · 84.2%3 puts
bias +68.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−19.0 pts
2 call OI · 25.0%6 put OI
bias −50.0 × 0.38
Equals
+23.4
69% of the score comes from today’s volume, 31% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring ORRF today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 26 (0th pct) · quality 38 · 19 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidmildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.08% avg, n=35,053
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on ORRF
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $41.38 highlighted. The $20 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 4).
05Our record on ORRF
Proof
9 Oct · 4h
$41.38 → $41.38
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
ORRF
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+23.4evidence 26
hasn’t paid −1.08% · n=35,053
Why it’s +23
+42.4 volume · 84% calls−19.0 OI · 25% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 26 (0th pct) · quality 38 · 19 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
mildly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −1.08% avg, n=35,053
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on ORRF
What traded today · 62%
+42.4 pts
16 calls · 3 puts · bias +68.4
What’s on the books · 38%
−19.0 pts
2 call OI · 6 put OI · bias −50.0
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$41.38 → $41.38
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $20 wallprice · below
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about ORRF
Not enough tape history on ORRF for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.