OTLY OTLY
$10.88 · scored 08:29 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 48/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 48/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−57.7 composite
Evidence
48 / 100 · top 56% today
601 contracts · quality 64 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid +0.36% · n=16,987
What traded today · weight 62%
−24.2 pts
183 calls · 30.4% 418 puts
bias −39.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−33.5 pts
36 call OI · 5.9% 572 put OI
bias −88.2 × 0.38
Equals
−57.7
42% of the score comes from today’s volume, 58% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring OTLY today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 48 (44th pct) · quality 64 · 601 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.36% avg, n=16,987
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on OTLY
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $10.88 highlighted. The $5 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 331). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on OTLY Proof We haven’t checked a call on OTLY yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
OTLY
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−57.7 evidence
hasn’t paid +0.36% · n=16,987
Why it’s −58
−24.2 volume · 30% calls−33.5 OI · 6% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 48 (44th pct) · quality 64 · 601 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.36% avg, n=16,987
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on OTLY
What traded today · 62%
−24.2 pts
183 calls · 418 puts · bias −39.1
What’s on the books · 38%
−33.5 pts
36 call OI · 572 put OI · bias −88.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about OTLY
Not enough tape history on OTLY for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our OTLY record what it is? What’s the $5 wall?