PATH UiPath Inc
$13.57 · +2.49% vs $13.24 close · scored 15:46 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 75/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 33.3 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 75/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+59.0 composite┆ +25.6 yesterday (+33.3) +33.9 vs a week ago
Evidence
75 / 100 · top 8% today
4,543 contracts · quality 90 · stability 0.90
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+45.9 pts
3,954 calls · 87.0% 589 puts
bias +74.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+13.0 pts
55,679 call OI · 67.2% 27,228 put OI
bias +34.3 × 0.38
Equals
+59.0
78% of the score comes from today’s volume, 22% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.53% · tape +43.0 · corr 0.28
● peak +71 ◆ −42.2 in a day ▼ low −8.8 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $19 $12 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.53% while the tape has firmed 43.0 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 75 (92th pct) · quality 90 · 4,543 contracts
pass Stable 0.90 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led PATH’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.19, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on PATH is poor 29% hit rate on 463 closed calls · payoff 0.28×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $13.57 highlighted. The $15 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 13,432). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on PATH Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$13.57 → $13.57
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$13.25 → $13.57
+2.42% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$13.25 → $13.57
+2.42% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$13.25 → $13.57
+2.42% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 218 of these 463 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 18.86 · fwd 16.65 Beta 1.058
52w $9.20–$19.84 IV rank —
Ask about PATH answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +25 to +59 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +27.8 on 8 Oct, then rose to +59.0 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $13.07 to $13.24. It’s at +59.0 now.+45.9 from volume and +13.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:46 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our PATH record what it is? What’s the $15 wall?
What our data projects
+0.50 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#61 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $15 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
UiPath Inc · Technology
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+59.0 ┆ +25.6 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +59
+45.9 volume · 87% calls+13.0 OI · 67% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −42.2 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $19 $12 Price −5.53%, tape +43.0 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 75 (92th pct) · quality 90 · 4,543 contracts
pass Stable 0.90 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led PATH’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.19, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
+45.9 pts
3,954 calls · 589 puts · bias +74.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+13.0 pts
55,679 call OI · 27,228 put OI · bias +34.3
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −5.53% · tape +43.0 · corr 0.28
● peak +71 ◆ −42.2 in a day ▼ low −8.8 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-25 10-02 10-09 $19 $12 Over 30 days, price has fallen 5.53% while the tape has firmed 43.0 points. The two are drifting apart.
29% hit rate · 463 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$13.57 → $13.57
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$13.25 → $13.57
+2.42% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$13.25 → $13.57
+2.42% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$13.25 → $13.57
+2.42% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $15 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PATH
Why did the score rise from +25 to +59 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +27.8 on 8 Oct, then rose to +59.0 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $13.07 to $13.24. It’s at +59.0 now.+45.9 from volume and +13.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:46 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our PATH record what it is? What’s the $15 wall?