PAYP PAYP
$15.51 · scored 02:02 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 52/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 52/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+2.8 composite
Evidence
52 / 100 · top 44% today
136 contracts · quality 53 · stability 0.00
neutral · +0.51% · n=2,471
What traded today · weight 62%
−12.8 pts
54 calls · 39.7% 82 puts
bias −20.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+15.6 pts
670 call OI · 70.5% 280 put OI
bias +41.1 × 0.38
Equals
+2.8
45% of the score comes from today’s volume, 55% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring PAYP today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 52 (56th pct) · quality 53 · 136 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.51% avg, n=2,471
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on PAYP
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $15.51 highlighted. The $30 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 456).
05 Our record on PAYP Proof 21 Oct · 4h
$15.51 → $15.51
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
PAYP
Neutral, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+2.8 evidence
neutral · +0.51% · n=2,471
Why it’s +3
−12.8 volume · 40% calls+15.6 OI · 71% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 52 (56th pct) · quality 53 · 136 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → +0.51% avg, n=2,471
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on PAYP
What traded today · 62%
−12.8 pts
54 calls · 82 puts · bias −20.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+15.6 pts
670 call OI · 280 put OI · bias +41.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$15.51 → $15.51
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $30 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PAYP
Not enough tape history on PAYP for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our PAYP record what it is? What’s the $30 wall?