PEGA
PEGA
$35.49 · scored 11:39 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 49/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 49/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−22.1 composite
Evidence
49 / 100 · top 64% today
1,005 contracts · quality 75 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid +0.26% · n=31,394
What traded today · weight 62%
−4.6 pts
465 calls · 46.3%540 puts
bias −7.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−17.5 pts
154 call OI · 27.0%416 put OI
bias −46.0 × 0.38
Equals
−22.1
21% of the score comes from today’s volume, 79% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring PEGA today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 49 (36th pct) · quality 75 · 1,005 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paidmildly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → +0.26% avg, n=31,394
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on PEGA
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $35.49 highlighted. The $47.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 105).
05Our record on PEGA
Proof
9 Oct · 4h
$35.49 → $35.49
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
PEGA
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
−22.1evidence 49
hasn’t paid +0.26% · n=31,394
Why it’s −22
−4.6 volume · 46% calls−17.5 OI · 27% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 49 (36th pct) · quality 75 · 1,005 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
againstThis kind of read hasn’t paid
mildly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → +0.26% avg, n=31,394
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on PEGA
What traded today · 62%
−4.6 pts
465 calls · 540 puts · bias −7.5
What’s on the books · 38%
−17.5 pts
154 call OI · 416 put OI · bias −46.0
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$35.49 → $35.49
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bullishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $47.5 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about PEGA
Not enough tape history on PEGA for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.