PLMR PLMR
$140.53 · scored 02:02 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 44/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 44/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+71.8 composite
Evidence
44 / 100 · top 69% today
168 contracts · quality 73 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=66,298
What traded today · weight 62%
+43.5 pts
143 calls · 85.1% 25 puts
bias +70.2 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+28.2 pts
453 call OI · 87.1% 67 put OI
bias +74.2 × 0.38
Equals
+71.8
61% of the score comes from today’s volume, 39% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring PLMR today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 44 (31th pct) · quality 73 · 168 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=66,298
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on PLMR
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $140.53 highlighted. The $145 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 109).
05 Our record on PLMR Proof 21 Oct · 4h
$140.53 → $140.53
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
PLMR
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+71.8 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.12% · n=66,298
Why it’s +72
+43.5 volume · 85% calls+28.2 OI · 87% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 44 (31th pct) · quality 73 · 168 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.12% avg, n=66,298
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on PLMR
What traded today · 62%
+43.5 pts
143 calls · 25 puts · bias +70.2
What’s on the books · 38%
+28.2 pts
453 call OI · 67 put OI · bias +74.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
21 Oct · 4h
$140.53 → $140.53
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $145 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PLMR
Not enough tape history on PLMR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our PLMR record what it is? What’s the $145 wall?