PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc
$198.78 · +0.00% vs $198.78 close · scored 14:29 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 91/100
What changed
Composite weakened 12.1 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 91/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Mildly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+22.9 composite┆ +35.0 yesterday (−12.1) −5.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
91 / 100 · top 1% today
798,353 contracts · quality 98 · stability 0.93
has paid +1.11% · n=9,211
What traded today · weight 62%
+21.7 pts
538,690 calls · 67.5% 259,663 puts
bias +35.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+1.2 pts
344,607 call OI · 51.6% 323,078 put OI
bias +3.2 × 0.38
Equals
+22.9
95% of the score comes from today’s volume, 5% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +17.25% · tape +10.6 · corr 0.05
▼ low +3.1 ◆ +13.9 in a day ● peak +29 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $199 $183 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 17.25% while the tape has firmed 10.6 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 91 (99th pct) · quality 98 · 798,353 contracts
pass Stable 0.93 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 34
pass This kind of read has paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · high liquidity → +1.11% avg, n=9,211
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led PLTR’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.44, n=51)
against Our record on PLTR is poor 12% hit rate on 1052 closed calls · payoff 0.59×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $198.78 highlighted. The $200 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 41,687). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on PLTR Proof 12%
hit rate · 1052 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$198.78 → $198.78
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$198.78 → $198.78
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$198.78 → $198.78
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$198.78 → $198.78
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 715 of these 1052 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 150.36 · fwd 86.71 Beta 1.624
52w $106.37–$207.52 IV rank —
Ask about PLTR answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +28 to +23 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +27.9 on 2 Oct, then fell to +18.6 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $190.04 to $188.75. It’s at +22.9 now.+21.7 from volume and +1.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 14:29 method · 62/38
Compare with APLD Why is our PLTR record what it is? What’s the $200 wall?
What our data projects
+0.21 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#169 of 724 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $200 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Palantir Technologies Inc · Technology
Mildly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+22.9 ┆ +35.0 yday evidence
has paid +1.11% · n=9,211
Why it’s +23
+21.7 volume · 67% calls+1.2 OI · 52% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +13.9 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $199 $183 Price +17.25%, tape +10.6 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 91 (99th pct) · quality 98 · 798,353 contracts
pass Stable 0.93 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 34
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led PLTR’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.44, n=51)
against Our record on PLTR is poor 12% hit rate on 1052 closed calls · payoff 0.59×
What traded today · 62%
+21.7 pts
538,690 calls · 259,663 puts · bias +35.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+1.2 pts
344,607 call OI · 323,078 put OI · bias +3.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +17.25% · tape +10.6 · corr 0.05
▼ low +3.1 ◆ +13.9 in a day ● peak +29 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $199 $183 Over 30 days, price has risen 17.25% while the tape has firmed 10.6 points. They agree.
12% hit rate · 1052 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$198.78 → $198.78
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$198.78 → $198.78
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$198.78 → $198.78
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$198.78 → $198.78
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $200 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PLTR
Why did the score drop from +28 to +23 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +27.9 on 2 Oct, then fell to +18.6 on 3 Oct as the price moved from $190.04 to $188.75. It’s at +22.9 now.+21.7 from volume and +1.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 14:29 method · 62/38
Compare with APLD Why is our PLTR record what it is? What’s the $200 wall?