POET POET Technologies Inc
$7.75 · +10.09% vs $7.04 close · scored 14:48 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 71/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 71/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+23.9 composite−37.2 vs a week ago
Evidence
71 / 100 · top 13% today
13,963 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.74% · n=9,948
What traded today · weight 62%
+13.5 pts
8,505 calls · 60.9% 5,458 puts
bias +21.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+10.3 pts
90,399 call OI · 63.6% 51,719 put OI
bias +27.2 × 0.38
Equals
+23.9
57% of the score comes from today’s volume, 43% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −15.28% · tape −33.5 · corr 0.43
▼ low +1.1 ◆ −43.0 in a day ● peak +77 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-09 $8 $7 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 15.28% while the tape has faded 33.5 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 71 (87th pct) · quality 81 · 13,963 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.74% avg, n=9,948
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led POET’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.34, n=50)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on POET is poor 13% hit rate on 2000 closed calls · payoff 2.85×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $7.75 highlighted. The $8 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 28,893). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on POET Proof 13%
hit rate · 2000 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$7.75 → $7.75
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$7.12 → $7.75
+8.92% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$7.04 → $7.75
+10.09% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$7.04 → $7.75
+10.09% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1591 of these 2000 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — Beta 0.832
52w $3.87–$20.81 IV rank —
Ask about POET answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +61 to +24 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +61.1 on 7 Oct, then fell to +35.0 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $7.75 to $7.42. It’s at +23.9 now.+13.5 from volume and +10.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:48 method · 62/38
Compare with INTC Why is our POET record what it is? What’s the $8 wall?
What our data projects
+0.55 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#52 of 635 · helped by confidence, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $8 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
POET Technologies Inc · Semiconductors
Mildly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+23.9 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.74% · n=9,948
Why it’s +24
+13.5 volume · 61% calls+10.3 OI · 64% calls
51 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −43.0 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-09 $8 $7 Price −15.28%, tape −33.5 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 71 (87th pct) · quality 81 · 13,963 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.74% avg, n=9,948
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led POET’s tape by 3 days (r=-0.34, n=50)
What traded today · 62%
+13.5 pts
8,505 calls · 5,458 puts · bias +21.8
What’s on the books · 38%
+10.3 pts
90,399 call OI · 51,719 put OI · bias +27.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −15.28% · tape −33.5 · corr 0.43
▼ low +1.1 ◆ −43.0 in a day ● peak +77 08-19 08-27 09-04 09-12 09-21 09-29 10-07 10-09 $8 $7 Over 30 days, price has fallen 15.28% while the tape has faded 33.5 points. They agree.
13% hit rate · 2000 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$7.75 → $7.75
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$7.12 → $7.75
+8.92% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$7.04 → $7.75
+10.09% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$7.04 → $7.75
+10.09% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $8 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about POET
Why did the score drop from +61 to +24 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +61.1 on 7 Oct, then fell to +35.0 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $7.75 to $7.42. It’s at +23.9 now.+13.5 from volume and +10.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 51 pts stock_scores · 14:48 method · 62/38
Compare with INTC Why is our POET record what it is? What’s the $8 wall?