PSA Public Storage
$286.88 · +0.10% vs $286.60 close · scored 15:48 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 44/100
What changed
Composite weakened 1.3 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 44/100
For the read
signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+1.6 composite┆ +2.9 yesterday (−1.3) −9.9 vs a week ago
Evidence
44 / 100 · top 74% today
202 contracts · quality 76 · stability 0.83
neutral · +0.40% · n=12,401
What traded today · weight 62%
+7.4 pts
113 calls · 55.9% 89 puts
bias +11.9 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−5.7 pts
1,625 call OI · 42.4% 2,204 put OI
bias −15.1 × 0.38
Equals
+1.6
56% of the score comes from today’s volume, 44% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.72% · tape +2.0 · corr 0.17
▼ low −36.1 ◆ +24.6 in a day ● peak +12 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $302 $282 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.72% while the tape has barely moved (+2.0). The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 44 (26th pct) · quality 76 · 202 contracts
pass Stable 0.83 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.40% avg, n=12,401
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led PSA’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.28, n=45)
against Our record on PSA is poor 9% hit rate on 671 closed calls · payoff 0.70×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $286.88 highlighted. The $310 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 624). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$286.88 → $286.88
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$286.22 → $286.88
+0.23% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$285.52 → $286.88
+0.48% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$285.52 → $286.88
+0.48% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 491 of these 671 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 25.94 · fwd 28.29 Beta 0.899
52w $256.54–$335.55 IV rank —
Ask about PSA answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +12 to +2 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +11.6 on 7 Oct, then fell to +2.4 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $285.79 to $281.99. It’s at +1.6 now.+7.4 from volume and −5.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 15:48 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our PSA record what it is? What’s the $310 wall?
What our data projects
−0.49 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#665 of 724 · helped by tape composite. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $310 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Public Storage · Real Estate
Neutral, thinly evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+1.6 ┆ +2.9 yday evidence
neutral · +0.40% · n=12,401
Why it’s +2
+7.4 volume · 56% calls−5.7 OI · 42% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +24.6 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $302 $282 Price −2.72%, tape +2.0 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 44 (26th pct) · quality 76 · 202 contracts
pass Stable 0.83 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 100
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.40% avg, n=12,401
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led PSA’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.28, n=45)
What traded today · 62%
+7.4 pts
113 calls · 89 puts · bias +11.9
What’s on the books · 38%
−5.7 pts
1,625 call OI · 2,204 put OI · bias −15.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −2.72% · tape +2.0 · corr 0.17
▼ low −36.1 ◆ +24.6 in a day ● peak +12 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $302 $282 Over 30 days, price has fallen 2.72% while the tape has barely moved (+2.0). The two are drifting apart.
9% hit rate · 671 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$286.88 → $286.88
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$286.22 → $286.88
+0.23% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$285.52 → $286.88
+0.48% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$285.52 → $286.88
+0.48% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $310 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PSA
Why did the score drop from +12 to +2 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +11.6 on 7 Oct, then fell to +2.4 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $285.79 to $281.99. It’s at +1.6 now.+7.4 from volume and −5.7 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 15:48 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our PSA record what it is? What’s the $310 wall?