PSMT PSMT
$168.88 · +0.00% vs $168.88 close · scored 10:29 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 42/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 42/100
For the read
options volume favours calls
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−12.0 composite
Evidence
42 / 100 · top 73% today
92 contracts · quality 58 · stability 0.00
not enough history
What traded today · weight 62%
+12.1 pts
55 calls · 59.8% 37 puts
bias +19.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−24.2 pts
57 call OI · 18.2% 256 put OI
bias −63.6 × 0.38
Equals
−12.0
33% of the score comes from today’s volume, 67% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring PSMT today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 42 (27th pct) · quality 58 · 92 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note No calibration for this kind of read yet the matching bucket has too few samples
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on PSMT
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $168.88 highlighted. The $110 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 252). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on PSMT Proof 12 Oct · 4h
$168.88 → $168.88
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
PSMT
Mildly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−12.0 evidence
not enough history
Why it’s −12
+12.1 volume · 60% calls−24.2 OI · 18% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 42 (27th pct) · quality 58 · 92 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note No calibration for this kind of read yet the matching bucket has too few samples
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on PSMT
What traded today · 62%
+12.1 pts
55 calls · 37 puts · bias +19.6
What’s on the books · 38%
−24.2 pts
57 call OI · 256 put OI · bias −63.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
12 Oct · 4h
$168.88 → $168.88
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $110 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about PSMT
Not enough tape history on PSMT for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our PSMT record what it is? What’s the $110 wall?