QCOM Qualcomm Inc
$175.50 · −0.28% vs $176.00 close · scored 07:41 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 70/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 70/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+17.2 composite−24.1 vs a week ago
Evidence
70 / 100 · top 14% today
27,613 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.08% · n=2,328
What traded today · weight 62%
+8.3 pts
15,654 calls · 56.7% 11,959 puts
bias +13.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+8.9 pts
104,844 call OI · 61.7% 65,148 put OI
bias +23.4 × 0.38
Equals
+17.2
48% of the score comes from today’s volume, 52% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +0.81% · tape −33.4 · corr 0.22
● peak +56 ◆ +36.6 in a day ▼ low +3.9 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-09 10-10 $202 $176 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 0.81% while the tape has faded 33.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 70 (86th pct) · quality 82 · 27,613 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · mid liquidity → −1.08% avg, n=2,328
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led QCOM’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.28, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on QCOM is poor 20% hit rate on 833 closed calls · payoff 0.86×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $175.50 highlighted. The $200 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 15,103). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on QCOM Proof 10 Oct · 4h
$175.50 → $175.50
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$175.50 → $175.50
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$175.50 → $175.50
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$176.50 → $176.50
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 215 of these 833 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 20.52 · fwd 19.66 Beta 1.764
52w $121.99–$259.92 IV rank —
Ask about QCOM answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +23 to +17 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +26.9 on 8 Oct, then fell to +3.9 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $177.12 to $176.00. It’s at +17.2 now.+8.3 from volume and +8.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 07:41 method · 62/38
Compare with INTC Why is our QCOM record what it is? What’s the $200 wall?
What our data projects
+0.70 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#32 of 635 · helped by confidence, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $200 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Qualcomm Inc · Semiconductors
Mildly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+17.2 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.08% · n=2,328
Why it’s +17
+8.3 volume · 57% calls+8.9 OI · 62% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +36.6 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-09 10-10 $202 $176 Price +0.81%, tape −33.4 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 70 (86th pct) · quality 82 · 27,613 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 39
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · balanced · mid liquidity → −1.08% avg, n=2,328
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led QCOM’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.28, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
+8.3 pts
15,654 calls · 11,959 puts · bias +13.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+8.9 pts
104,844 call OI · 65,148 put OI · bias +23.4
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +0.81% · tape −33.4 · corr 0.22
● peak +56 ◆ +36.6 in a day ▼ low +3.9 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-09 10-10 $202 $176 Over 30 days, price has risen 0.81% while the tape has faded 33.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
20% hit rate · 833 closed
10 Oct · 4h
$175.50 → $175.50
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$175.50 → $175.50
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$175.50 → $175.50
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$176.50 → $176.50
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $200 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about QCOM
Why did the score drop from +23 to +17 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +26.9 on 8 Oct, then fell to +3.9 on 9 Oct as the price moved from $177.12 to $176.00. It’s at +17.2 now.+8.3 from volume and +8.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 07:41 method · 62/38
Compare with INTC Why is our QCOM record what it is? What’s the $200 wall?