QS Quantumscape Corp
$4.63 · +0.43% vs $4.61 close · scored 12:07 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 67/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 67/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+43.0 composite−24.3 vs a week ago
Evidence
67 / 100 · top 19% today
8,831 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+21.4 pts
5,937 calls · 67.2% 2,894 puts
bias +34.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+21.6 pts
505,617 call OI · 78.4% 139,213 put OI
bias +56.8 × 0.38
Equals
+43.0
50% of the score comes from today’s volume, 50% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −17.83% · tape −16.8 · corr -0.02
◆ +35.2 in a day ▼ low +20.3 ● peak +67 08-19 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-07 $6 $5 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 17.83% while the tape has faded 16.8 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 81 · 8,831 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=48)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
note Our record on QS is mixed 48% hit rate on 835 closed calls · payoff 0.60×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $4.63 highlighted. The $10 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 102,769). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
7 Oct · 4h
$4.63 → $4.63
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$4.61 → $4.61
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$4.65 → $4.65
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$4.59 → $4.59
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 300 of these 835 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E — Beta 2.831
52w $4.76–$19.07 IV rank —
Ask about QS answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +67 to +43 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +67.3 on 30 Sep, then fell to +36.9 on 1 Oct as the price moved from $4.91 to $4.65. It’s at +43.0 now.+21.4 from volume and +21.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 49 pts stock_scores · 12:07 method · 62/38
Why is our QS record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?
What our data projects
+0.33 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#118 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, confidence, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Quantumscape Corp · Auto Components
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+43.0 evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +43
+21.4 volume · 67% calls+21.6 OI · 78% calls
49 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +35.2 08-19 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-07 $6 $5 Price −17.83%, tape −16.8 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 67 (81th pct) · quality 81 · 8,831 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 47
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note No reliable lead enough history exists, but no tape/price lead clears the reliability threshold (r=0.00, n=48)
What traded today · 62%
+21.4 pts
5,937 calls · 2,894 puts · bias +34.5
What’s on the books · 38%
+21.6 pts
505,617 call OI · 139,213 put OI · bias +56.8
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −17.83% · tape −16.8 · corr -0.02
◆ +35.2 in a day ▼ low +20.3 ● peak +67 08-19 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-24 10-01 10-07 $6 $5 Over 30 days, price has fallen 17.83% while the tape has faded 16.8 points. They agree.
48% hit rate · 835 closed
7 Oct · 4h
$4.63 → $4.63
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$4.61 → $4.61
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$4.65 → $4.65
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$4.59 → $4.59
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $10 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about QS
Why did the score drop from +67 to +43 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +67.3 on 30 Sep, then fell to +36.9 on 1 Oct as the price moved from $4.91 to $4.65. It’s at +43.0 now.+21.4 from volume and +21.6 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 49 pts stock_scores · 12:07 method · 62/38
Why is our QS record what it is? What’s the $10 wall?