RBRK Rubrik Inc
$120.89 · +0.56% vs $120.22 close · scored 14:42 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 65/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 65/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+29.6 composite−1.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
65 / 100 · top 24% today
1,856 contracts · quality 77 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.09% · n=87,750
What traded today · weight 62%
+17.6 pts
1,191 calls · 64.2% 665 puts
bias +28.3 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+12.0 pts
16,150 call OI · 65.8% 8,379 put OI
bias +31.7 × 0.38
Equals
+29.6
59% of the score comes from today’s volume, 41% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +31.20% · tape −25.4 · corr -0.66
● peak +59 ▼ low +11.0 ◆ −44.6 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $120 $87 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 31.20% while the tape has faded 25.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 65 (76th pct) · quality 77 · 1,856 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.09% avg, n=87,750
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led RBRK’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.39, n=42)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
note Our record on RBRK is mixed 38% hit rate on 291 closed calls · payoff 2.29×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $120.89 highlighted. The $125 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,731). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on RBRK Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$120.89 → $120.89
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$120.89 → $120.89
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$120.89 → $120.89
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$120.22 → $120.89
+0.56% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 138 of these 291 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — · fwd 245.86 Beta 1.144
52w $42.25–$127.90 IV rank —
Ask about RBRK answers from FlowDesk data only
You
What is behind today’s +29.6?
FlowDesk
The composite has held within 1.0 points of +29.6 across the last 8 sessions.+17.6 from volume and +12.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 43 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our RBRK record what it is? What’s the $125 wall?
What our data projects
+0.31 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#135 of 780 · helped by confidence, volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $125 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Rubrik Inc · Technology
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+29.6 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.09% · n=87,750
Why it’s +30
+17.6 volume · 64% calls+12.0 OI · 66% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ −44.6 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $120 $87 Price +31.20%, tape −25.4 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 65 (76th pct) · quality 77 · 1,856 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.09% avg, n=87,750
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led RBRK’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.39, n=42)
What traded today · 62%
+17.6 pts
1,191 calls · 665 puts · bias +28.3
What’s on the books · 38%
+12.0 pts
16,150 call OI · 8,379 put OI · bias +31.7
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +31.20% · tape −25.4 · corr -0.66
● peak +59 ▼ low +11.0 ◆ −44.6 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $120 $87 Over 30 days, price has risen 31.20% while the tape has faded 25.4 points. The two are drifting apart.
38% hit rate · 291 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$120.89 → $120.89
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$120.89 → $120.89
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$120.89 → $120.89
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$120.22 → $120.89
+0.56% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $125 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about RBRK
What is behind today’s +29.6?
The composite has held within 1.0 points of +29.6 across the last 8 sessions.+17.6 from volume and +12.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 43 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with ORCL Why is our RBRK record what it is? What’s the $125 wall?