REAX Real Brokerage Inc
$15.96 · −6.56% vs $17.08 close · scored 15:44 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 58/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 58/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+44.3 composite┆ +44.1 yesterday (+0.2) −33.6 vs a week ago
Evidence
58 / 100 · top 42% today
1,947 contracts · quality 63 · stability 0.75
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+44.5 pts
1,672 calls · 85.9% 275 puts
bias +71.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−0.2 pts
2,962 call OI · 49.7% 2,997 put OI
bias −0.6 × 0.38
Equals
+44.3
100% of the score comes from today’s volume, 0% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −9.00% · tape +15.2 · corr -0.33
▼ low −18.1 ◆ +91.9 in a day ● peak +79 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $17 $16 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 9.00% while the tape has firmed 15.2 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 58 (58th pct) · quality 63 · 1,947 contracts
note Jumpy 0.75 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 57
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led REAX’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.24, n=46)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on REAX is poor 27% hit rate on 428 closed calls · payoff 24.67×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $15.96 highlighted. The $2.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 2,197). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on REAX Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$15.96 → $15.96
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$17.08 → $15.96
−6.56% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$17.08 → $15.96
−6.56% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$17.08 → $15.96
−6.56% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 229 of these 428 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E — · fwd 80.49 Beta 0.803
52w $14.26–$47.40 IV rank —
Ask about REAX answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +78 to +44 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +53.4 on 6 Oct, then fell to −11.4 on 7 Oct as the price moved from $16.43 to $16.43. It’s at +44.3 now.+44.5 from volume and −0.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 47 pts stock_scores · 15:44 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our REAX record what it is? What’s the $2.5 wall?
What our data projects
+0.83 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#20 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, price momentum (5 days), volatility (20 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $2.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Real Brokerage Inc · Real Estate
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+44.3 ┆ +44.1 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +44
+44.5 volume · 86% calls−0.2 OI · 50% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +91.9 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $17 $16 Price −9.00%, tape +15.2 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 58 (58th pct) · quality 63 · 1,947 contracts
note Jumpy 0.75 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 57
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led REAX’s tape by 2 days (r=-0.24, n=46)
What traded today · 62%
+44.5 pts
1,672 calls · 275 puts · bias +71.8
What’s on the books · 38%
−0.2 pts
2,962 call OI · 2,997 put OI · bias −0.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −9.00% · tape +15.2 · corr -0.33
▼ low −18.1 ◆ +91.9 in a day ● peak +79 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $17 $16 Over 30 days, price has fallen 9.00% while the tape has firmed 15.2 points. The two are drifting apart.
27% hit rate · 428 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$15.96 → $15.96
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$17.08 → $15.96
−6.56% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$17.08 → $15.96
−6.56% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$17.08 → $15.96
−6.56% miss
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $2.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about REAX
Why did the score drop from +78 to +44 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +53.4 on 6 Oct, then fell to −11.4 on 7 Oct as the price moved from $16.43 to $16.43. It’s at +44.3 now.+44.5 from volume and −0.2 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 47 pts stock_scores · 15:44 method · 62/38
Compare with OPEN Why is our REAX record what it is? What’s the $2.5 wall?