REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
$741.00 · +0.19% vs $739.57 close · scored 15:49 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 62/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 62/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+38.7 composite┆ +39.2 yesterday (−0.5) +11.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
62 / 100 · top 32% today
696 contracts · quality 81 · stability 0.72
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+26.7 pts
498 calls · 71.6% 198 puts
bias +43.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+12.0 pts
2,309 call OI · 65.8% 1,200 put OI
bias +31.6 × 0.38
Equals
+38.7
69% of the score comes from today’s volume, 31% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.73% · tape +0.2 · corr -0.03
● peak +64 ◆ +53.9 in a day ▼ low +4.6 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $788 $735 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.73% while the tape has barely moved (+0.2). The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 62 (68th pct) · quality 81 · 696 contracts
note Jumpy 0.72 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led REGN’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.16, n=44)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on REGN is poor 31% hit rate on 276 closed calls · payoff 1.06×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $741.00 highlighted. The $890 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 285). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on REGN Proof 9 Oct · 4h
$741.00 → $741.00
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$740.88 → $741.00
+0.02% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$739.57 → $741.00
+0.19% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$739.57 → $741.00
+0.19% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 142 of these 276 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 17.59 · fwd 13.38 Beta 0.131
52w $541.00–$859.34 IV rank —
Ask about REGN answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +28 to +39 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +27.7 on 7 Oct, then rose to +38.4 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $736.50 to $742.12. It’s at +38.7 now.+26.7 from volume and +12.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:49 method · 62/38
Compare with PURR Why is our REGN record what it is? What’s the $890 wall?
What our data projects
−0.27 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#470 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $890 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc · Biotechnology
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+38.7 ┆ +39.2 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +39
+26.7 volume · 72% calls+12.0 OI · 66% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +53.9 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $788 $735 Price −8.73%, tape +0.2 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 62 (68th pct) · quality 81 · 696 contracts
note Jumpy 0.72 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led REGN’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.16, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
+26.7 pts
498 calls · 198 puts · bias +43.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+12.0 pts
2,309 call OI · 1,200 put OI · bias +31.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −8.73% · tape +0.2 · corr -0.03
● peak +64 ◆ +53.9 in a day ▼ low +4.6 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $788 $735 Over 30 days, price has fallen 8.73% while the tape has barely moved (+0.2). The two are drifting apart.
31% hit rate · 276 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$741.00 → $741.00
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$740.88 → $741.00
+0.02% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$739.57 → $741.00
+0.19% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$739.57 → $741.00
+0.19% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $890 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about REGN
Why did the score rise from +28 to +39 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +27.7 on 7 Oct, then rose to +38.4 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $736.50 to $742.12. It’s at +38.7 now.+26.7 from volume and +12.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:49 method · 62/38
Compare with PURR Why is our REGN record what it is? What’s the $890 wall?