RFL RFL
$1.43 · scored 07:58 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 48/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 48/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+34.0 composite
Evidence
48 / 100 · top 52% today
598 contracts · quality 47 · stability 0.00
has paid +36.79% · n=9,199
What traded today · weight 62%
−1.0 pts
294 calls · 49.2% 304 puts
bias −1.7 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+35.0 pts
520 call OI · 96.1% 21 put OI
bias +92.2 × 0.38
Equals
+34.0
3% of the score comes from today’s volume, 97% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring RFL today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 48 (48th pct) · quality 47 · 598 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → +36.79% avg, n=9,199
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on RFL
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $1.43 highlighted. The $7.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 521). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on RFL yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
RFL
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+34.0 evidence
has paid +36.79% · n=9,199
Why it’s +34
−1.0 volume · 49% calls+35.0 OI · 96% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 48 (48th pct) · quality 47 · 598 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on RFL
What traded today · 62%
−1.0 pts
294 calls · 304 puts · bias −1.7
What’s on the books · 38%
+35.0 pts
520 call OI · 21 put OI · bias +92.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $7.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about RFL
Not enough tape history on RFL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our RFL record what it is? What’s the $7.5 wall?