RL RL
$380.66 · +0.00% vs $380.66 close · scored 02:22 · stale
Decision brief
BEARISH · 43/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 43/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−44.7 composite
Evidence
43 / 100 · top 71% today
319 contracts · quality 73 · stability 0.00
has paid −0.79% · n=10,544
What traded today · weight 62%
−51.5 pts
27 calls · 8.5% 292 puts
bias −83.1 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+6.8 pts
1,120 call OI · 59.0% 779 put OI
bias +18.0 × 0.38
Equals
−44.7
88% of the score comes from today’s volume, 12% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring RL today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 43 (29th pct) · quality 73 · 319 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.79% avg, n=10,544
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on RL
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $380.66 highlighted. The $370 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 455).
22 Oct · 4h
$380.66 → $380.66
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
RL
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−44.7 evidence
has paid −0.79% · n=10,544
Why it’s −45
−51.5 volume · 8% calls+6.8 OI · 59% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 43 (29th pct) · quality 73 · 319 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 80
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on RL
What traded today · 62%
−51.5 pts
27 calls · 292 puts · bias −83.1
What’s on the books · 38%
+6.8 pts
1,120 call OI · 779 put OI · bias +18.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
22 Oct · 4h
$380.66 → $380.66
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $370 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about RL
Not enough tape history on RL for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our RL record what it is? What’s the $370 wall?