RSG Republic Services Inc
$216.84 · +0.00% vs $216.84 close · scored 14:42 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 60/100
What changed
The read is broadly unchanged.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 60/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+28.0 composite┆ +28.0 yesterday (+0.0) −22.5 vs a week ago
Evidence
60 / 100 · top 38% today
289 contracts · quality 74 · stability 0.76
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
What traded today · weight 62%
+22.1 pts
196 calls · 67.8% 93 puts
bias +35.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+5.9 pts
2,360 call OI · 57.8% 1,725 put OI
bias +15.5 × 0.38
Equals
+28.0
79% of the score comes from today’s volume, 21% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.84% · tape +6.8 · corr -0.44
▼ low −9.6 ● peak +50 ◆ +60.1 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $223 $207 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.84% while the tape has firmed 6.8 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 60 (62th pct) · quality 74 · 289 contracts
note Jumpy 0.76 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led RSG’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.25, n=45)
against Our record on RSG is poor 25% hit rate on 293 closed calls · payoff 0.96×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $216.84 highlighted. The $230 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 831).
9 Oct · 4h
$216.84 → $216.84
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$216.84 → $216.84
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$216.84 → $216.84
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$216.84 → $216.84
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 173 of these 293 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 29.37 · fwd 27.25 Beta 0.351
52w $196.41–$233.42 IV rank —
Ask about RSG answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score drop from +50 to +28 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was +50.5 on 7 Oct, then fell to +28.1 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $209.35 to $216.18. It’s at +28.0 now.+22.1 from volume and +5.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with ABM Why is our RSG record what it is? What’s the $230 wall?
What our data projects
−0.39 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#533 of 635 · helped by call/put volume tilt, composite change (3 days). Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $230 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Republic Services Inc · Commercial Services & Supplies
Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+28.0 ┆ +28.0 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −0.01% · n=92,310
Why it’s +28
+22.1 volume · 68% calls+5.9 OI · 58% calls
14 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +60.1 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $223 $207 Price −1.84%, tape +6.8 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 60 (62th pct) · quality 74 · 289 contracts
note Jumpy 0.76 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · low liquidity → −0.01% avg, n=92,310
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led RSG’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.25, n=45)
What traded today · 62%
+22.1 pts
196 calls · 93 puts · bias +35.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+5.9 pts
2,360 call OI · 1,725 put OI · bias +15.5
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.84% · tape +6.8 · corr -0.44
▼ low −9.6 ● peak +50 ◆ +60.1 in a day 09-26 09-28 09-30 10-02 10-04 10-06 10-08 10-09 $223 $207 Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.84% while the tape has firmed 6.8 points. The two are drifting apart.
25% hit rate · 293 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$216.84 → $216.84
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$216.84 → $216.84
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$216.84 → $216.84
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$216.84 → $216.84
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $230 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about RSG
Why did the score drop from +50 to +28 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was +50.5 on 7 Oct, then fell to +28.1 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $209.35 to $216.18. It’s at +28.0 now.+22.1 from volume and +5.9 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 46 pts stock_scores · 14:42 method · 62/38
Compare with ABM Why is our RSG record what it is? What’s the $230 wall?