SMBC SMBC
$69.93 · scored 06:53 · fresh
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 33/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 33/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+2.6 composite
Evidence
33 / 100 · top 92% today
0 contracts · quality 19 · stability 0.00
neutral · +0.44% · n=11,852
No call/put volume stored for today, so the score can’t be split.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring SMBC today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 33 (8th pct) · quality 19 · 0 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.44% avg, n=11,852
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on SMBC
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $69.93 highlighted. The $75 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 39). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on SMBC Proof We haven’t checked a call on SMBC yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
SMBC
Neutral, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+2.6 evidence
neutral · +0.44% · n=11,852
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 33 (8th pct) · quality 19 · 0 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · low liquidity → +0.44% avg, n=11,852
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on SMBC
No call/put volume stored for today.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $75 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about SMBC
Not enough tape history on SMBC for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our SMBC record what it is? What’s the $75 wall?