SMBK
SMBK
$51.25 · scored 13:28 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 33/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 33/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+68.6 composite
Evidence
33 / 100 · top 94% today
0 contracts · quality 40 · stability 0.00
has paid +1.17% · n=198,401
No call/put volume stored for today, so the score can’t be split.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring SMBK today.
There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidenceconfidence 33 (6th pct) · quality 40 · 0 contracts
noteJumpy0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
passThis kind of read has paidstrongly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → +1.17% avg, n=198,401
noteToo few of our calls checked1 closed call on SMBK
04
Where the positions sit
calls tradedstrikeputs traded
Spot $51.25 highlighted. The $55 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 58). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05Our record on SMBK
Proof
7 Oct · 4h
$51.25 → $51.25
+0.00%flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context
EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street —Next report —
P/E —Beta —
52w —IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
SMBK
Strongly bullish, thinly evidenced.
−100 bearish0bullish +100
+68.6evidence 33
has paid +1.17% · n=198,401
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
againstThin evidence
confidence 33 (6th pct) · quality 40 · 0 contracts
noteJumpy
0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
noteToo few of our calls checked
1 closed call on SMBK
No call/put volume stored for today.
tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
7 Oct · 4h
$51.25 → $51.25
+0.00%flat
The read flips to bearishcomposite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60conf · below
Price reaches the $55 wallprice · above
3 days before earningsnot yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a daynot yet · delta
Ask about SMBK
Not enough tape history on SMBK for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.