SON SON
$48.02 · scored 05:41 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 49/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 49/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−27.0 composite
Evidence
49 / 100 · top 71% today
270 contracts · quality 56 · stability 0.00
not enough history
What traded today · weight 62%
+11.0 pts
159 calls · 58.9% 111 puts
bias +17.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−38.0 pts
0 call OI · 0.0% 44 put OI
bias −100.0 × 0.38
Equals
−27.0
22% of the score comes from today’s volume, 78% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring SON today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 49 (29th pct) · quality 56 · 270 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note No calibration for this kind of read yet the matching bucket has too few samples
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on SON
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $48.02 highlighted. The $30 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 37). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
7 Oct · 4h
$48.02 → $48.02
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
Research · never used to score
Tape transformer forecasts live on their own page and have not earned a place in the read. Not enough closed-trade evidence to trust on their own.
SON
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−27.0 evidence
not enough history
Why it’s −27
+11.0 volume · 59% calls−38.0 OI · 0% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 49 (29th pct) · quality 56 · 270 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note No calibration for this kind of read yet the matching bucket has too few samples
note Too few of our calls checked 1 closed call on SON
What traded today · 62%
+11.0 pts
159 calls · 111 puts · bias +17.8
What’s on the books · 38%
−38.0 pts
0 call OI · 44 put OI · bias −100.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
0% hit rate · 1 closed
7 Oct · 4h
$48.02 → $48.02
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $30 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about SON
Not enough tape history on SON for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our SON record what it is? What’s the $30 wall?