SUNB Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc
$78.52 · +0.00% vs $78.52 close · scored 06:00 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 54/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 54/100
For the read
options volume favours puts
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , but price is moving the other way.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+5.7 composite−73.5 vs a week ago
Evidence
54 / 100 · top 36% today
161 contracts · quality 74 · stability 0.00
neutral · −0.29% · n=1,778
What traded today · weight 62%
−18.9 pts
56 calls · 34.8% 105 puts
bias −30.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+24.5 pts
4,063 call OI · 82.3% 874 put OI
bias +64.6 × 0.38
Equals
+5.7
43% of the score comes from today’s volume, 57% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +6.11% · tape −82.8 · corr -0.54
● peak +92 ▼ low −27.3 ◆ +103.1 in a day 09-08 09-13 09-19 09-24 09-29 10-04 10-18 10-24 $79 $67 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 6.11% while the tape has faded 82.8 points. The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (64th pct) · quality 74 · 161 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.29% avg, n=1,778
note Not enough aligned history lead/lag withheld until at least 30 aligned daily observations are available (r=0.00, n=31)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits low relative to price
against Our record on SUNB is poor 25% hit rate on 492 closed calls · payoff 0.78×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $78.52 highlighted. The $80 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,897).
05 Our record on SUNB Proof 24 Oct · 4h
$78.52 → $78.52
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$74.85 → $74.85
+0.00% flat
8 Oct · 4h
$74.77 → $74.77
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$77.10 → $77.10
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 198 of these 492 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 22.22 · fwd 16.88 Beta 1.401
52w $61.03–$86.68 IV rank —
Ask about SUNB answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −8 to +6 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −23.9 on 8 Oct, then rose to +79.2 on 10 Oct as the price moved from $74.77 to $74.85. It’s at +5.7 now.−18.9 from volume and +24.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 32 pts stock_scores · 06:00 method · 62/38
Compare with CNM Why is our SUNB record what it is? What’s the $80 wall?
What our data projects
−0.27 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#1491 of 1610 · helped by tape composite. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $80 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc · Trading Companies & Distributors
Neutral, moderately evidenced . Price is moving the other way.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+5.7 evidence
neutral · −0.29% · n=1,778
Why it’s +6
−18.9 volume · 35% calls+24.5 OI · 82% calls
32 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +103.1 09-08 09-13 09-19 09-24 09-29 10-04 10-18 10-24 $79 $67 Price +6.11%, tape −82.8 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 54 (64th pct) · quality 74 · 161 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · put-heavy · low liquidity → −0.29% avg, n=1,778
note Not enough aligned history lead/lag withheld until at least 30 aligned daily observations are available (r=0.00, n=31)
What traded today · 62%
−18.9 pts
56 calls · 105 puts · bias −30.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+24.5 pts
4,063 call OI · 874 put OI · bias +64.6
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +6.11% · tape −82.8 · corr -0.54
● peak +92 ▼ low −27.3 ◆ +103.1 in a day 09-08 09-13 09-19 09-24 09-29 10-04 10-18 10-24 $79 $67 Over 30 days, price has risen 6.11% while the tape has faded 82.8 points. The two are drifting apart.
25% hit rate · 492 closed
24 Oct · 4h
$78.52 → $78.52
+0.00% flat
10 Oct · 4h
$74.85 → $74.85
+0.00% flat
8 Oct · 4h
$74.77 → $74.77
+0.00% flat
4 Oct · 4h
$77.10 → $77.10
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $80 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about SUNB
Why did the score rise from −8 to +6 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −23.9 on 8 Oct, then rose to +79.2 on 10 Oct as the price moved from $74.77 to $74.85. It’s at +5.7 now.−18.9 from volume and +24.5 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 32 pts stock_scores · 06:00 method · 62/38
Compare with CNM Why is our SUNB record what it is? What’s the $80 wall?