TIPT TIPT
$16.90 · scored 08:10 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 38/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 38/100
For the read
options volume favours puts · open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak · data quality is weak
The read
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+21.9 composite
Evidence
38 / 100 · top 80% today
443 contracts · quality 43 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −7.47% · n=1,230
What traded today · weight 62%
−16.1 pts
164 calls · 37.0% 279 puts
bias −26.0 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+38.0 pts
1 call OI · 100.0% 0 put OI
bias +100.0 × 0.38
Equals
+21.9
30% of the score comes from today’s volume, 70% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring TIPT today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 38 (20th pct) · quality 43 · 443 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −7.47% avg, n=1,230
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on TIPT
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $16.90 highlighted. The $12.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on TIPT Proof We haven’t checked a call on TIPT yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
TIPT
Mildly bullish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+21.9 evidence
hasn’t paid −7.47% · n=1,230
Why it’s +22
−16.1 volume · 37% calls+38.0 OI · 100% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 38 (20th pct) · quality 43 · 443 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · put-heavy · low liquidity → −7.47% avg, n=1,230
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on TIPT
What traded today · 62%
−16.1 pts
164 calls · 279 puts · bias −26.0
What’s on the books · 38%
+38.0 pts
1 call OI · 0 put OI · bias +100.0
— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $12.5 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about TIPT
Not enough tape history on TIPT for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our TIPT record what it is? What’s the $12.5 wall?