TREX

$48.79 · scored 01:53 · stale

Decision brief

BULLISH · 56/100

What changed

No prior comparable read.

Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.

What would change the view

composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 56/100

For the read

options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read

Against / uncertainty

signal stability is low

The read

Strongly bullish, moderately evidenced.

−100 bearish0bullish +100

+30.0 composite

Evidence

56 / 100 · top 33% today

317 contracts · quality 73 · stability 0.00

has paid +33.79% · n=8,863

Why it’s +30

Method

What traded today · weight 62%

+9.2 pts

182 calls · 57.4%135 puts

bias +14.8 × 0.62

What’s on the books · weight 38%

+20.8 pts

2,635 call OI · 77.3%772 put OI

bias +54.7 × 0.38

Equals

+30.0

31% of the score comes from today’s volume, 69% from open interest. Disagree with either? See the method.

What changed: 1 days of tape against price

14d 43d 90d 365d · Reader

tape composite (bars)— price◆ big one-day moves

NO HISTORY YET

We started scoring TREX today.

There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.

Create a free account to follow it

Should you trust it?

note

Some evidence, not a lot

confidence 56 (67th pct) · quality 73 · 317 contracts

note

Jumpy

0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 0

pass

This kind of read has paid

strongly bullish · balanced · low liquidity → +33.79% avg, n=8,863

note

Too few of our calls checked

1 closed call on TREX

Where the positions sit

calls tradedstrikeputs traded

$70

$65

$60

$57.5

$55

WALL · OI 1,108

$52.5

$50

$47.5

$45

$42.5

$40

$37.5

$35

$32.5

$30

$27.5

$25

$22.5

$20

Spot $48.79 highlighted. The $55 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 1,108).

Our record on TREX

Proof

hit rate · 1 closed

—

payoff

+0.00%

avg return

21 Oct · 4h

$48.79 → $48.79

+0.00%flat

One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat, and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 1 of these 1 calls were flat.

Catalysts & context

EPS surprise · last 4 quarters

No reported quarters stored yet.

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