TXN Texas Instruments Inc
$284.30 · −3.23% vs $293.80 close · scored 05:42 · fresh
Decision brief
BULLISH · 70/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 70/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low
The read
Mildly bullish, well evidenced , and the tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+18.9 composite−10.8 vs a week ago
Evidence
70 / 100 · top 14% today
21,498 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00
hasn’t paid −0.74% · n=9,948
What traded today · weight 62%
+13.9 pts
13,154 calls · 61.2% 8,344 puts
bias +22.4 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+5.0 pts
128,730 call OI · 56.6% 98,789 put OI
bias +13.2 × 0.38
Equals
+18.9
74% of the score comes from today’s volume, 26% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +10.01% · tape +30.4 · corr 0.22
▼ low −56.0 ◆ +76.9 in a day ● peak +53 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-23 09-30 10-10 $294 $254 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has risen 10.01% while the tape has firmed 30.4 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 70 (86th pct) · quality 82 · 21,498 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 37
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.74% avg, n=9,948
pass Tape has led price tape has led TXN’s price by 1 day (r=0.36, n=43)
against Our record on TXN is poor 13% hit rate on 670 closed calls · payoff 1.86×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $284.30 highlighted. The $260 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 14,544). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
6 Oct · 4h
$298.14 → $298.14
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$293.80 → $293.80
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$289.08 → $289.08
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$281.31 → $281.31
+0.00% flat
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 545 of these 670 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Mixed Next report —
P/E 43.60 · fwd 27.80 Beta 1.420
52w $152.73–$334.03 IV rank —
Ask about TXN answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +3 to +19 this week?
FlowDesk
It moved over several days. The composite was +29.6 on 5 Oct, then fell to +7.6 on 6 Oct as the price moved from $293.80 to $293.80. It’s at +18.9 now.+13.9 from volume and +5.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 05:42 method · 62/38
Compare with INTC Why is our TXN record what it is? What’s the $260 wall?
What our data projects
+0.51 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#59 of 635 · helped by confidence, price momentum (5 days), last day's move. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $260 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Texas Instruments Inc · Semiconductors
Mildly bullish, well evidenced . The tape has led price here.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+18.9 evidence
hasn’t paid −0.74% · n=9,948
Why it’s +19
+13.9 volume · 61% calls+5.0 OI · 57% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +76.9 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-23 09-30 10-10 $294 $254 Price +10.01%, tape +30.4 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 70 (86th pct) · quality 82 · 21,498 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 37
against This kind of read hasn’t paid mildly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −0.74% avg, n=9,948
against Our record on TXN is poor 13% hit rate on 670 closed calls · payoff 1.86×
What traded today · 62%
+13.9 pts
13,154 calls · 8,344 puts · bias +22.4
What’s on the books · 38%
+5.0 pts
128,730 call OI · 98,789 put OI · bias +13.2
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price +10.01% · tape +30.4 · corr 0.22
▼ low −56.0 ◆ +76.9 in a day ● peak +53 08-26 09-02 09-09 09-16 09-23 09-30 10-10 $294 $254 Over 30 days, price has risen 10.01% while the tape has firmed 30.4 points. They agree.
13% hit rate · 670 closed
6 Oct · 4h
$298.14 → $298.14
+0.00% flat
3 Oct · 4h
$293.80 → $293.80
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$289.08 → $289.08
+0.00% flat
2 Oct · 4h
$281.31 → $281.31
+0.00% flat
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $260 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about TXN
Why did the score rise from +3 to +19 this week?
It moved over several days. The composite was +29.6 on 5 Oct, then fell to +7.6 on 6 Oct as the price moved from $293.80 to $293.80. It’s at +18.9 now.+13.9 from volume and +5.0 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 44 pts stock_scores · 05:42 method · 62/38
Compare with INTC Why is our TXN record what it is? What’s the $260 wall?