UBER Uber Technologies Inc
$71.88 · +2.53% vs $70.11 close · scored 15:48 · stale
Decision brief
BULLISH · 85/100
What changed
Composite strengthened 9.0 points.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite falls below +15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 85/100
For the read
options volume favours calls · open interest agrees with the read · signal has been stable · evidence confidence is high
Against / uncertainty
No material contradiction isolated.
The read
Strongly bullish, well evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+36.6 composite┆ +27.6 yesterday (+9.0) +22.0 vs a week ago
Evidence
85 / 100 · top 3% today
49,182 contracts · quality 95 · stability 0.92
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
What traded today · weight 62%
+28.3 pts
35,798 calls · 72.8% 13,384 puts
bias +45.6 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
+8.3 pts
172,979 call OI · 61.0% 110,796 put OI
bias +21.9 × 0.38
Equals
+36.6
77% of the score comes from today’s volume, 23% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.73% · tape +0.4 · corr 0.04
▼ low −6.9 ● peak +60 ◆ +29.5 in a day 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $79 $68 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.73% while the tape has barely moved (+0.4). The two are drifting apart.
03
Should you trust it? pass Plenty behind it confidence 85 (97th pct) · quality 95 · 49,182 contracts
pass Stable 0.92 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led UBER’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.21, n=51)
note Stretched vs its own history today’s tape sits high relative to price
against Our record on UBER is poor 25% hit rate on 1640 closed calls · payoff 0.93×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $71.88 highlighted. The $65 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 28,076). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
05 Our record on UBER Proof 25%
hit rate · 1640 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$71.88 → $71.88
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$70.53 → $71.88
+1.91% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$70.24 → $71.88
+2.33% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$70.24 → $71.88
+2.33% hit
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 936 of these 1640 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 14.53 · fwd 20.25 Beta 1.323
52w $65.41–$101.30 IV rank —
Ask about UBER answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from +15 to +37 this week?
FlowDesk
It moved over several days. The composite was +14.6 on 7 Oct, then rose to +27.4 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $68.09 to $68.45. It’s at +36.6 now.+28.3 from volume and +8.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 15:48 method · 62/38
Compare with HTZ Why is our UBER record what it is? What’s the $65 wall?
What our data projects
−0.13 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#359 of 635 · helped by quality, call/put volume tilt, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $65 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
Uber Technologies Inc · Road & Rail
Strongly bullish, well evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
+36.6 ┆ +27.6 yday evidence
hasn’t paid −1.64% · n=25,061
Why it’s +37
+28.3 volume · 73% calls+8.3 OI · 61% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +29.5 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $79 $68 Price −1.73%, tape +0.4 over 30 days. The two are drifting apart.
Should you trust it?
pass Plenty behind it confidence 85 (97th pct) · quality 95 · 49,182 contracts
pass Stable 0.92 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 21
against This kind of read hasn’t paid strongly bullish · call-heavy · mid liquidity → −1.64% avg, n=25,061
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led UBER’s tape by 1 day (r=-0.21, n=51)
What traded today · 62%
+28.3 pts
35,798 calls · 13,384 puts · bias +45.6
What’s on the books · 38%
+8.3 pts
172,979 call OI · 110,796 put OI · bias +21.9
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −1.73% · tape +0.4 · corr 0.04
▼ low −6.9 ● peak +60 ◆ +29.5 in a day 08-28 09-04 09-11 09-18 09-25 10-02 10-09 $79 $68 Over 30 days, price has fallen 1.73% while the tape has barely moved (+0.4). The two are drifting apart.
25% hit rate · 1640 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$71.88 → $71.88
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$70.53 → $71.88
+1.91% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$70.24 → $71.88
+2.33% hit
9 Oct · 4h
$70.24 → $71.88
+2.33% hit
The read flips to bearish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $65 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about UBER
Why did the score rise from +15 to +37 this week?
It moved over several days. The composite was +14.6 on 7 Oct, then rose to +27.4 on 8 Oct as the price moved from $68.09 to $68.45. It’s at +36.6 now.+28.3 from volume and +8.3 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 52 pts stock_scores · 15:48 method · 62/38
Compare with HTZ Why is our UBER record what it is? What’s the $65 wall?