UDR UDR
$34.01 · scored 10:47 · fresh
Decision brief
BEARISH · 40/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite rises above -15 · confidence deteriorates materially from 40/100
For the read
open interest agrees with the read
Against / uncertainty
signal stability is low · evidence confidence is weak
The read
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−37.6 composite
Evidence
40 / 100 · top 77% today
163 contracts · quality 58 · stability 0.00
has paid −2.63% · n=1,958
What traded today · weight 62%
−1.1 pts
80 calls · 49.1% 83 puts
bias −1.8 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−36.5 pts
1 call OI · 2.0% 49 put OI
bias −96.0 × 0.38
Equals
−37.6
3% of the score comes from today’s volume, 97% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
NO HISTORY YET
We started scoring UDR today. There’s one reading so far. The 14-day chart fills in as the hourly tape arrives. Nothing here is back-filled or guessed.
03
Should you trust it? against Thin evidence confidence 40 (23th pct) · quality 58 · 163 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
pass This kind of read has paid strongly bearish · balanced · low liquidity → −2.63% avg, n=1,958
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on UDR
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $34.01 highlighted. The $37.50 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 26). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
We haven’t checked a call on UDR yet. Each read is checked 4 hours, 1 day and 3 days after it’s made.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
No reported quarters stored yet.
Street — Next report —
P/E — Beta —
52w — IV rank —
UDR
Strongly bearish, thinly evidenced .
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−37.6 evidence 40
has paid −2.63% · n=1,958
Why it’s −38
−1.1 volume · 49% calls−36.5 OI · 2% calls
1 days · tape bars, price line
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
Should you trust it?
against Thin evidence confidence 40 (23th pct) · quality 58 · 163 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 50
note Too few of our calls checked 0 closed calls on UDR
What traded today · 62%
−1.1 pts
80 calls · 83 puts · bias −1.8
What’s on the books · 38%
−36.5 pts
1 call OI · 49 put OI · bias −96.0
tape composite (bars)— price ◆ big one-day moves
Not enough tape history to draw this yet.
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $37.5 wall price · above
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about UDR
Not enough tape history on UDR for a weekly brief yet. Ask anything below.
Why is our UDR record what it is? What’s the $37.5 wall?