UNH UnitedHealth Group Inc
$376.40 · +1.47% vs $370.95 close · scored 15:43 · stale
Decision brief
NEUTRAL · 66/100
What changed
No prior comparable read.
Evidence is stale — treat this read cautiously.
What would change the view
composite leaves the neutral band · confidence deteriorates materially from 66/100
For the read
No strong confirming evidence isolated.
Against / uncertainty
open interest leans against the read · signal stability is low
The read
Neutral, moderately evidenced , but it’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−2.7 composite+2.8 vs a week ago
Evidence
66 / 100 · top 22% today
24,605 contracts · quality 82 · stability 0.00
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
What traded today · weight 62%
+3.4 pts
12,978 calls · 52.7% 11,627 puts
bias +5.5 × 0.62
What’s on the books · weight 38%
−6.1 pts
66,673 call OI · 41.9% 92,349 put OI
bias −16.1 × 0.38
Equals
−2.7
36% of the score comes from today’s volume, 64% from open interest. Disagree with either?
See the method.
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.38% · tape −12.4 · corr 0.22
◆ +37.5 in a day ● peak +41 ▼ low −18.1 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $401 $365 Plain English: Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.38% while the tape has faded 12.4 points. They agree.
03
Should you trust it? note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 66 (78th pct) · quality 82 · 24,605 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led UNH’s tape by 3 days (r=0.26, n=44)
against Our record on UNH is poor 27% hit rate on 769 closed calls · payoff 1.07×
04
Where the positions sit calls traded strike puts traded
Spot $376.40 highlighted. The $370 strike holds the most open interest (the “wall”, 15,066). Near-dated expiry in the mix, so OI is noisier.
9 Oct · 4h
$376.40 → $376.40
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$370.95 → $376.40
+1.47% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$370.95 → $376.40
+1.47% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$370.95 → $376.40
+1.47% miss
One rule everywhere: a move of 0.05% or less is flat , and flat is not a hit. That is the same rule Proof uses; 333 of these 769 calls were flat.
06
Catalysts & context EPS surprise · last 4 quarters
Street Buy-leaning Next report —
P/E 23.57 · fwd 17.09 Beta 0.538
52w $255.97–$461.62 IV rank —
Ask about UNH answers from FlowDesk data only
You
Why did the score rise from −18 to −3 this week?
FlowDesk
It was mostly one day. The composite was −18.1 on 1 Oct, then rose to −5.5 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $367.70 to $365.20. It’s at −2.7 now.+3.4 from volume and −6.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:43 method · 62/38
Compare with MDT Why is our UNH record what it is? What’s the $370 wall?
What our data projects
−0.43 points vs the market, next 5 trading days
#544 of 635 · helped by quality, tape composite, confidence. Not trusted yet: context, not a call.
How Tell me when… The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $370 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Sign in to set alerts. Composite, price and evidence rules work today; earnings and one-day-move rules aren’t built yet.
UnitedHealth Group Inc · Health Care
Neutral, moderately evidenced . It’s confirming price rather than calling it.
−100 bearish 0 bullish +100
−2.7 evidence
neutral · −0.51% · n=4,671
Why it’s −3
+3.4 volume · 53% calls−6.1 OI · 42% calls
43 days · tape bars, price line
◆ +37.5 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $401 $365 Price −7.38%, tape −12.4 over 30 days. The two agree.
Should you trust it?
note Some evidence, not a lot confidence 66 (78th pct) · quality 82 · 24,605 contracts
note Jumpy 0.00 vs 7-day rolling · choppiness 66
note Neutral reads make no call neutral · balanced · mid liquidity → −0.51% avg, n=4,671
note Tape is confirming, not predicting price has led UNH’s tape by 3 days (r=0.26, n=44)
What traded today · 62%
+3.4 pts
12,978 calls · 11,627 puts · bias +5.5
What’s on the books · 38%
−6.1 pts
66,673 call OI · 92,349 put OI · bias −16.1
— price ◆ big one-day moves 30d: price −7.38% · tape −12.4 · corr 0.22
◆ +37.5 in a day ● peak +41 ▼ low −18.1 08-27 09-03 09-10 09-17 09-24 10-01 10-09 $401 $365 Over 30 days, price has fallen 7.38% while the tape has faded 12.4 points. They agree.
27% hit rate · 769 closed
9 Oct · 4h
$376.40 → $376.40
+0.00% flat
9 Oct · 4h
$370.95 → $376.40
+1.47% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$370.95 → $376.40
+1.47% miss
9 Oct · 4h
$370.95 → $376.40
+1.47% miss
The read flips to bullish composite · crosses 0
Evidence drops below 60 conf · below
Price reaches the $370 wall price · below
3 days before earnings not yet · earnings
Score moves ≥10 in a day not yet · delta
Ask about UNH
Why did the score rise from −18 to −3 this week?
It was mostly one day. The composite was −18.1 on 1 Oct, then rose to −5.5 on 2 Oct as the price moved from $367.70 to $365.20. It’s at −2.7 now.+3.4 from volume and −6.1 from open interest. I can’t split past days the same way: the stored history keeps call/put volume but not open interest for past days.
tape_history · 45 pts stock_scores · 15:43 method · 62/38
Compare with MDT Why is our UNH record what it is? What’s the $370 wall?